- Expansionary monetary policy aims to increase aggregate demand and economic growth in the economy.
- Expansionary monetary policy involves cutting interest rates or increasing the money supply to boost economic activity.
- Expansionary monetary policy could also be termed a ‘loosening of monetary policy’. It is the opposite of ‘tight’ monetary policy.
When To Pursue Expansionary Monetary Policy
The recession in 2008, caused the Bank of England to cut interest rates dramatically to try and boost economic recovery.
The MPC of the Bank of England has an inflation target of 2% +/-1. They also consider other economic objectives such as economic growth and unemployment. If inflation is forecast to fall below the target, they can consider loosening monetary policy to target higher inflation and enable a higher rate of economic growth.
Also, if the economy is forecast to enter into recession, they are likely to cut interest rates and try to boost economic growth.
In some cases, they may pursue expansionary monetary policy, even if inflation is above target – if they think inflation is temporary and there is greater risk of recession. (see: cost-push inflation)
How Does Expansionary Monetary Policy Work?
If the Bank of England cuts interest rates, it will tend to increase overall demand in the economy.
- Lower interest rates make it cheaper to borrow; this encourages firms to invest and consumers to spend.
- Lower interest rates reduce the cost of mortgage interest repayments. This gives households greater disposable income and encourages spending.
- Lower interest rates reduce the incentive to save.
- Lower interest rates reduce the value of the Pound, making exports cheaper and increases export demand.
In addition to cutting interest rates, the Central Bank could pursue a policy of quantitative easing to increase the money supply and reduce long term interest rates.Under quantitative easing, the Central bank creates money. It then uses this created money to buy government bonds from commercial banks. in theory, this should
- Increase monetary base and cash reserves of banks, which should enable higher lending.
- Reduce interest rates on bonds which should help investment.
Diagram Showing Increase in AD as a Result of Expansionary Monetary Policy
Effect of Expansionary Monetary Policy
In theory, expansionary monetary policy should cause higher economic growth and lower unemployment. It will also cause a higher rate of inflation. To some extent, the expansionary monetary policy of 2008, helped economic recovery. But, the recovery was weaker than expected showing limitations of monetary policy.
Why Expansionary Monetary Policy May Not Work
Cutting interest rates isn’t guaranteed to cause a strong economic recovery. Expansionary monetary policy may fail under certain conditions.
- If confidence is very low, then people may not want to invest or spend, despite lower interest rates.
- In a credit crunch, banks may not have funds to lend, therefore although the Central Bank cuts base rates, it is still difficult to get a loan from a bank.
- Commercial banks may not pass the base rate cut on.
- In Credit crunch, banks SVR didn’t fall as much as the base rate.
- Depends on other components of aggregate demand. Expansionary monetary policy may boost consumer spending, however, if we are in a global recession, then there may be a strong fall in exports which outweighs the improvement in consumer spending.
- Time Lags. It can take up to 18 months for interest rate cuts to increase spending. For example, people may have a two-year fixed rate mortgage. Therefore, they only see impact of rate cut when they remortgage.
Did Expansionary Monetary Policy of 2008 Work?
The recession of 2008-2009 was very deep. The UK was hard hit by credit crunch and knock to financial sector. Despite interest rate cut and £200bn of quantitative easing, the economy was quite slow to recover. In 2011, this weak recovery petered out.
However, without the expansionary monetary policy, the recession could have been even deeper. Also, the double dip recession of 2011-2012 was partly caused by a tightening of fiscal policy (higher tax, lower spending)