Definition of Credit Default Swap – CDS are a financial instrument for swapping the risk of debt default. Credit default swaps may be used for emerging market bonds, mortgage backed securities, corporate bonds and local government bond
- The buyer of a credit default swap pays a premium for effectively insuring against a debt default. He receives a lump sum payment if the debt instrument is defaulted.
- The seller of a credit default swap receives monthly payments from the buyer. If the debt instrument defaults they have to pay the agreed amount to the buyer of the credit default swap.
Example of Credit Default Swap
- An investment trust owns £1 million corporation bond issued by a private housing firm.
- If there is a risk the private housing firm may default on repayments, the investment trust may buy a CDS from a hedge fund. The CDS is worth £1 million.
- The investment trust will pay an interest on this credit default swap of say 3%. This could involve payments of £30,000 a year for the duration of the contract.
- If the private housing firm doesn’t default. The hedge fund gains the interest from the investment bank and pays nothing out. It is simple profit.
- If the private housing firm does default, then the hedge fund has to pay compensation to the investment bank of £1 million – the value of the credit default swap.
- Therefore the hedge fund takes on a larger risk and could end up paying £1million
The higher the perceived risk of the bond, the higher the interest rate the hedge fund will require.
Example of Credit Default Swap
Example, suppose that Lloyds TSB has lent money to riskymortgage.co.uk in the form of a £1,000 bond.
Lloyds TSB may then purchase a credit default swap from another company e.g. a Hedge Fund.
If the firm (Riskymortgage.co.uk) default on the loan, then the hedge fund will pay Lloyds TSB the value of the loan.
Thus Lloyds TSB have insurance against loan default. The hedge fund has the opportunity to make profit, so long as the firm does not default on the loan.
The more risky the loan, the higher will be the premium required on buying a credit default swap.
Why Would People Buy Credit Default Swaps?
1. Hedge against risk. Suppose an investment fund owned mortgage bonds from riskymortgage.co.uk. It might be worried about losing all its investment. Therefore, to hedge against the risk of default, they could purchase a credit default swap from Lloyds TSB. If riskymortgage.co.uk defaulted, they will lose their investment, but receive a pay-off from Lloyds to compensate. If they don’t default, they have paid a premium to Lloyds but have had security.
2. Speculation e.g. risk is underpriced.
Suppose a hedge fund felt riskymortgage was very likely to default because of a rise in home repossessions. They would buy a credit default swap. If the debt was defaulted, then they would make profit from Lloyds TSB. Note you don’t have to actually own debt to take a credit default swap.
Clearly the more risky a bond is the higher premium will be required from a buyer of a credit default swap. It is argued that credit default swaps provide an important role in indicating the riskiness / credit worthiness of a firm.
3. Arbitrage
If a company’s financial position improves, the credit rating should also improve and therefore, the CDS spread should fall to reflect improved rating. This makes CDS more attractive to sell CDS protection. If the company position deteriorated, CDS protection would be more attractive to buy. Arbitrage could occur when dealers exploit any slowness of the market to respond to signals.
Credit Default Swaps in Markets
The first credit default swap was introduced in 1995 by JP Morgan. By 2007, their total value has increased to an estimated $45 trillion to $62 trillion. Although since only 0.2% of investment companies default, the cash flow is much lower than this actual amount.
The size of the credit default market dwarfs that of the stock market and the bond market they represent. Therefore, this shows that credit default swaps are being used for speculation and not insuring against actual bonds.
Credit Default Swaps are unregulated and because they get traded so frequently there is uncertainty of who owns them and whether the holders can actually pay in the event of a negative credit event.
Credit Default Swaps and Credit Crisis
Some have suggested credit default swaps have exacerbated the financial crisis of 2008. E.g. When Lehman Brother went bankrupt, it meant a lot of credit default guarantees would go unrewarded. E.g. Washington Mutual bought corporate bonds in 2005 and hedged their exposure by buying CDS protection from Lehman brothers. With Lehman brothers going bankrupt this CDS protection was nullified.
Others say that credit default is only an instrument reflecting changes in risk and are not the cause of the underlying liquidity problems
See also:
Thanks. your description helped to understand the concept.
the two main problems with CDS are lack of regulation and lack of insurable interest. Since the CDS market is unregulated their is no requirement that the entity issuing the CDS have suffecient funds in case the insured instrument defaults. The latter problem is that you don’t have to own the bond to get a CDS on it. So let’s say a $1M bond is defaulted on and 100 people had a CDS on it then the issuer of the CDS would have to pay out 100 million on a asset with an underlying value of only 1 million dollars.
There is nothing wrong with CDS, provided that people who are not participants are not forced to cover the bet. That is why institutions should have failed. Instead, non-participants are forced to hand over the money for someone else’s gambling addiction. This is not capitalism. This is dictatorship. Thus, please do not say that they should have been regulated. It implies that it is acceptable someone to gamble with your money. If you are stupid enough to gamble with your money, it is your progative. Who am I to say what to do with your money?
CDS are now $577 Trillion and growing. The world economy cannot pay this should the majority of creditors default.
A further cause of the Irish bank crisis is the subprime one of banks lending to debtors who are not properly secured. This could have been corrected by a system of housing benefits which could have been applied in repaying the loans.
The Irish banks should have been prohibited by Irish law from entering into credit default agreements apparently insuring against loss claims which the insurer could not honour.
THANKS 4 GIVING INFORMATION ABOUT CDS .
When a casino doesn’t pay off winning customers, they aren’t gambling; they are stealing.
There off and running in the Kentuck …………..err Wall Street.
Let me pose these two questions. (1) Given that the Federal Reserve substantially discounts risk when it supports it’s “save the economy” role (instead of just “managing inflation”), is the CDS a real proxy? That is, by pricing credit risk at say 5% when the Fed is supporting 1% money? (2) And if the Federal Reserve was not propping up an economy with cheap money, would the need for a CDS be as strong, if at all?
Why not just say that a CDS is “debtor default insurance”?
Hi,
I don’t understand how to combine arbitrage pricing theory, Mertons theory – the debt and equity can be illustrated as european options and the CDS spread.
Hi,
I read today in the The Wall Street Journal – Asia edition that a Texas hedge-fund bagged millions of US$ using CDS and betting on Greece and other European countries debts.
Beside the “morality” and risks attached to this speculative transaction, how individuals can take advantage of such schemes ?
I have been looking every where for an example of how CDS are traded. If I own a CDS and am currently paying 50bps to the issuer, then the price people are willing to pay for the CDS rises to 80bps and I sell it to John Smith, does John Smith then pay me 80 bps while I continue paying 50bps to the issuer? Or is that not how it works?
Limited liability on CDS payments, meaning the US Govt only payoff swaps that were used to hedge risk (not speculate with swaps) was one option not taken by the Treasury that would have been both fair and economical. But we did not go there. Follow this: The Treasury paid and continues to pay AIG claims 100-cents on the dollar on mortgage defaults (loans). Owners of the loans (banks) who bought CDS insurance have been made whole for any loss resulting from non-payment. But homeowners are still obligated to pay their mortgages (in arrears) even though these non-payments have effectively been paid for, month-after-month, by US taxpayers. So, the banks stand to earn double – should defaulting homeowners become current with their debt and if they don’t, they can foreclose and effectively make a windfall. Doesn’t sound fair to me. Every dollar the taxpayer paid to keep mortgages current should reduce the obligation. If the taxpayer was there to help, the help should go to the distressed homeowner not the banker who has mitigated his risk.
#14 Jan,
JP Morgan had two women (yes women) that came up with the CDS.
They were not in the commercial lending side, they were working Swaps. i.e. you have a fixed mortgage I have a variable. I want the JP to write up a contract so I can make your monthly payments for 3 months as you make mine for 3, trading off and on. We can’t trade our mortgages so JP has to find a way to contractually structure the “Swap”. That’s only one example of a trade/swap.
In 1995 Exxon asked for a $4.8 B dollar line of credit to cover the oil spill. JP was NOT going to outsource the line of credit (who wants to lose Exxon as a customer). But it really wasn’t fair that JP would have to reserve $8.00 on every $100.00. This was a regulation on a bank that had top of the line creditors. So the young ladies, one who drove a Harley
, went to work to find a way to transfer the risk of Exxon defaulting on the line of credit should it become a loan. They found an off-shore government source that would take yearly payments to assume the possibility of Exxon defaulting. The government did not require the actual loan be transferred because they felt there was no chance of Exxon defaulting.
The lawyers had the problem stated in an other post of “gambling”. When the contract was completed it covered only the actual default on the part of Exxon. The lawyers in the contract expressly referred to it as a “Credit Default” as opposed to a foreclosure, because only the lender holding the loan could foreclose.
Jan, this is only what I came up with to explain the term: Credit Default Swaps.
Thanks,
Austin
I don’t think anyone has answered #7 Thomas Walsh. His quote: “If a CDS buyer does not own the debt being insured, this is gambling – pure and simple. Banks have become bookie agencies and governments are expected to cover their losses.”
Mr. Walsh I would argue that: My bank holds title to my car. My car is insured, but not with the bank. If my car is totaled the insurance company covers my bank loan. State Farm can pay the bank balance of my loan off AT THE TIME OF THE LOSS (not at the time of purchase).
My question, respectfully, is: Do you believe State Farm is gambling with car insurance?
Thanks,
Austin
I think itr is true that credit default swaps have exacerbated the financial crisis.
Are the cds a hybrid between a contract of gaurantee and a contract of insurance only thing traded in capital markets to hedge risk?
Hi. I’m confused about something. Generally when CDS spreads tighten, it’s seen as a good thing – risk decreasing, etc. But if I have bought a CDS at (say) 50bps and it tightened to 40bps, haven’t I made a loss? So by this logic, buyers of CDS want spreads to go up?
Chk the second example of lloyds.
lloyds has lend loan to RCU.
a) Why would HF pay premium to llyods?
b) As rightly pointed out by mohit why would llyods pay HF???
I am working on a financial prequalification criteria project. I am trying to develop scoring criteria based on credit default swap traded over the counter as basis for determining the financial solvency of bidders.
I will appreciate some help on the variables and dimensions that indicate the financial state on a scale of 1 to 5 with 5 as the highest.
Furthermore, an insight into the application of credit default swap in case of companies doing business internationally and in developing countries in africa.
Solche Blogeintr
market regulation is the key, i am ye to be convinced otherwise, cheers!
I absolutely agree with jan, I tried to read the explanation from the wikipedia over and ower again, after good hour just understud that it means!!!
Why do we call this thing CDS instead of insurance ? Was it just to confuse the “enemy” by giving it some funny name ? Can you guess how many PhD’s and for how long worked on coming up with the name CDS ?
They should get another Nobel for their effort
to make up something completely meaningless
and incomprehensible. Just say it aloud CREDIT DEFAULT SWAP, you know right away what that means. Right ?
Hello,
There has been much debate in recent days regarding whether the market for “Credit Default Swaps(CDS)” should be more tightly regulated. The market makers are usually big banks who hold a large inventory of Credit Default Swaps.
Thanks,
Mark Smith(http://www.healthinsuranceinfo.org/)
The banking and finance committies of both houses have allowed banks, investment banks, hedge funds and other financial institutions to buy, sell, and trade credit default swaps (read that as insurance without proper reserves at best and outright gambling at worst) without a clearing mechanism or regulation. Go look at the campaign contributions of these committee members and see why this has been allowed to happen. The “perfect storm” of artificially low mortgage rates (Greenspan/Fed), loose (or criminally deceptive) mortgage loans, and a housing bubble colapse combined to make CDOs (packages of toxic loans) worthless and all those CDSs based on them just as worthless. Trillions of inflated money evaported. Where did it go? Into the combined pockets of all the people in the chain of guilt! Mortgage brokers, banks, mortgage makers of all kinds, CDS issuers, such as hedge funds, investment institutions(Citi, Lehman’s,JP Morgan), Insurance companies (AIG) each inflating the value as it passed through their hands, politicians paid not to regulate too closely. And we the people for not being committed enough to hold these politicians and CEOs responsible for their greed and not controlling our own greed.
It would seem that if you buy a credit default swap on a contract between two other parties, that gambling is evident. The state attorney general in the state where this is happening should bring action against the bookie and the particpants.
It would seem that if you buy a credit default swap on a contract between two other parties, that gambling is evident. The state attorney general in the state where this is happing should bring action against the bookie and the particpants. Cancel all contracts of this type. Arrest all parties and Charge Them with gambling.
If a CDS buyer does not own the debt being insured, this is gambling – pure and simple. Banks have become bookie agencies and governments are expected to cover their losses. Home equity lenders are blocking the stimulus bills mortgage re-financing. Why is second position with a risky loan better than second position on a much safer loan? My guess, and that is all it is, is that any credit default insurance is not transferable to the new loan? The government should force loan default transferability or invalidate all default insurance on debt not owned by the insurance holder.
May I suggest a clearer definition of a credit default swap using actual businesses. There are articles written that companies such as AIG opened what is considered a “casino” taking actual cash bets on which it appears they lost. Did AIG act like “house” by taking the bets and guaranteeing the bet between two other parties, or were they one of the parties? Two other programs on TV seemed to indicate that it was a cash bet between two parties, and there could be more than one bet on the same situation.
On AEI on 1/24/09, after Gramm spoke one of the panelists was named Posen. As i understood him these companies weren’t even involved in the shipment of goods, but were placing a side bet in cash. A similar program on 60 Minutes a few months back, as I understood the program, cash bets were placed and bets were lost and it was a lack of reserves. Was AIG placing cash bets or were they guaranteeing a bet between two other parties?
CDS are “hedges against risk”…like insurance, but not regulated like insurance. What could be more risky than unregulated insurance?
These instruments were worth trillions, and yet they remained unregulated! Nobody is sure who even owns them. The worst aspect, according to your article and others is that nobody is doing any oversight to make sure that the holders can pay as a result of a negative credit event.
AIG is truly an insurance Giant. They were careful NOT to identify this as “insurance” least they be regulated by the State of New York Insurance authorities.
Here’s the real bombshell. It’s my understanding that several institutions can buy insurance on the same bond. In fact, I believe that in the majority of this para-insurance most institutions didn’t.
“The first credit default swap was introduced in 1995 by JP Morgan. By 2007, their total value has increased to an estimated $45 trillion to $62 trillion. Although since only 0.2% of investment companies default, the cash flow is much lower than this actual amount. The size of the credit default market dwarfs that of the stock market and the bond market they represent.”
1.) The value of the CDS market has never been anywhere near $45 trillion or $65 trillion. CDS is similar to insurance. If you buy a $100,000 insurance policy on your house, it is not worth $100,000. It’s value is far closer to zero than $100,000. By comparing the amount insured (notional value) to the actual value (i.e. what someone would pay for it) of the stock and/or bond market, you are comparing apples to oranges. The actual value of the CDS market is a small fraction of the stock and/or bond market.
2.) The notional value itself of the CDS market is overinflated as the same investor often both buys and sells CDS on the same company. Under pressure from the Fed, the industry is rapidly working to tear up these redundant trades. Over $25 trillion of notional value in CDS has been torn up in the last several months with zero change in the last several months (www.lsta.org).
“Credit Default Swaps are unregulated and because they get traded so frequently there is uncertainty of who owns them and whether the holders can actually pay in the event of a negative credit event.”
They may be under-regulated but they are not unregulated. Comments by the SEC that CDS is unregulated is part of their effort to expand their powers. Have you seen any comments by the Treasury or the Fed that CDS is unregulated?
In terms of there being no knowledge of who owns them, DTCC (www.dtcc.com) has started to publish weekly details on the amount of CDS outstanding on the top 1,000 insured entities. DTCC (a regulated entity) handles the cash payments for CDS. They could not do this if they did not know who to pay (i.e. who owns them).