Economic Questions on Greek Exit

Readers Question: Should Greece pull out of the euro ? They are in the fifth year of recession despite EU bailouts – it seems like pouring money down a black hole. Yes. I believe they should leave the Euro. I put some arguments for and against here – Should Greece leave the Euro. Leaving the …

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What is to Stop a Second Euro Crisis?

Suppose, the Eurozone stumbles through this crisis. Suppose countries avoid leaving the Euro and endure several years of low growth and internal devaluation? What is to stop another Eurozone crisis occurring in 5 – 10 years time? I can’t see how Greece, Spain and Portugal  will ever be able to thrive in the Eurozone. Unless …

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Is the UK tax system fair?

Readers Question: Assess the effectiveness of the UK’s taxation structure in terms of reducing inequalities, negative externalities and unemployment.

Some of the UK’s tax system is progressive. A progressive tax takes a bigger % of income from higher earners. The UK’s income tax system is progressive. In 2012-13, the tax threshold will be over £8,100 This means people on low income, pay zero income tax. For people earning over £34,000, they will pay a marginal tax rate of 40%. For earners over £150,000 there is a marginal tax rate of 45%

The system of marginal tax rates means that the average tax rate increases the more you earn. You only pay 45% tax on income over £100,000.

National insurance is also quite progressive as it takes a % of your income. However, with national insurance there are upper limits so you don’t have to pay tax on income above that. Income and NI taxes account for 50% of total tax revenue. The government have admitted that the combination of income tax and NI makes it unnecessarily complicated. A commission will be looking at merging the two.

However, although the income tax system is progressive, other taxes are more regressive.

At 20% VAT tends to be more regressive. People on low income have a higher marginal propensity to consume. Therefore, the VAT they pay is a higher % of their total income. People on high income will spend more and will pay more VAT, but they will have a lower marginal propensity to consume (People on high incomes can afford to save a higher % of income). Therefore, VAT will be a smaller % of income spent. The regressive nature of VAT is slightly compensated by the fact that in theory, necessities like food (e.g. cold pastries, cabbages) don’t have VAT. VAT is supposed to be targeted at luxury goods.

Other taxes like excise duties on cigarettes are much more regressive. Smoking rates tend to be higher amongst people with lower incomes. Also, it will be a much bigger % of income than for rich smokers.

Tax revenue

 

 

government tax revenue

Council Tax can also be quite regressive and arguably unfair. People living in expensive areas end up having high housing costs, but also a higher council tax band. Arguably a fairer method of collecting local tax would be a local income tax.

Another problem with the UK tax system is the scope for having offshore accounts and avoiding paying tax through tax avoidance schemes.  Tax avoidance is often easier by people with high incomes. Offshore tax avoidance

The Mirrless report by Institute of Fiscal Studies argued that the UK tax system was costly, ineffective and complicated. Guardian link

Although, the Tax Justice movement were critical of this Mirrless report.

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France National Debt 2012

France national debt has increased significantly over the past two decades. In 1985, government debt was 37.9% of their GDP. French national debt is now 85% of GDP. In Q4 2011, French debt is currently 1717 bn Euro

France national debt

Source: INSEE – general government debt according to Maastricht criteria. Up to Q4 2011

Public sector debt is 85% of GDP in 2011

Forecast for 2012 is public sector debt of 90% of GDP.

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Will Socialist France help the Euro economy?

The election of Francois Holland as French president is important for changing the dynamics of the EU. There is currently a strong acceptance of the need for continued austerity and fiscal targets. However, under the weight of soaring unemployment, European voters are becoming increasingly disenchanted with this recipe for low growth and high unemployment. But, …

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Question on Central Bank Lending

Readers Question:… So, basically we have the FED using it’s money to liquidate the fund’s of other people, and those other people are lending, or a portion of them are lending, the fund’s that they now have because of the FED. Wouldn’t it make more sense for the FED to, instead of purchasing bonds so …

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How to Deal With Youth Unemployment

One of the great challenges facing Europe is the persistence and increase in levels of unemployment. The highest rates of youth unemployment are in Spain (51%) and Greece (51%). Other countries include Italy 35%, France 21%, UK 21%, Portugal 36% Youth Unemployment in the UK This shows how youth unemployment in UK has increased since …

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Richest People in World 2012

We may be in a longer recession than the 1930s Great Depression (see: link) but it hasn’t prevented the richest people in Britain increase their net wealth. The richest 1000 men and women have a combined wealth of £414bn, up 4.7% on the previous year.

 

Richest People in the World 2012

1. The Walton Family (US)Retail (Walmart)£51bn
2. Carlos Slim (Mexico)Telecoms£44bn
3. Bill Gates (US)Microsoft£39bn
4. Charles and David Kock (US)Oil£32bn
5. Warren Buffet (US)Investment£28bn
5. K Berthold and Theo Albrecht (GermanySupermarkets (Aldi)£28bn
7. Forrest and John Mars (US)Confectionary (Mars)£26bn
7. Bernard Arnault (France)Luxury Goods£26bn
9. Ingvar Kamprad (Sweden)Ikea (retail)£25bn
10. Amancio Ortega (Spain)Zara (fashion)£24bn

The richest 20 people have a wealth of £288.5bn – more than triple the wealth of 2003, when the richest 20 people’s combined wealth was £102bn. The credit crunch temporarily reduced wealth. In 2008, it was £280bn, falling to £167bn in 2009. But now their wealth has climbed above the 2008 peak.

Richest People in Britain

1. Lakshmi Mittal and familySteel£12.7bn
2. Alisher UsmanovMining and investment£12.32bn
3. Roman AbramovichOil and industry£9.5bn
4, Sri And Gopi HindujaIndustry and finance£8.6 bn
5. Leonard BlavatnikIndustry (Russian oil)£7.58 bn
6. Ernesto and Kirsty BertarelliPharmaceuticals£7.48bn
7. The Duke of WestminsterProperty£7.3 bn
8. David and Simon ReubenProperty and investment£7.08bn
9. John Fredriksen and FamilyShipping and oil services£6.6 bn
10. Galen and George Weston and FamilyRetailing£5.9

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