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Mortgage Default Rates in UK | Economics Blog

Mortgage Default Rates in UK


Readers Question: The problem has been the number of defaulters. But for Building Societies there is less than 0.001% of 1% defaulters (Saturday’s Guardian) – where ARE all these houses being repossessed?

You are right that mortgage repossessions amongst building societies are very low. This is because:

  • Building societies have to stick to stricter rules about lending than private banks. These regulations mean that they have avoided the worst excesses of the other banks.
  • Home repossession in the UK is still relatively low. According to statistics by the council of Mortgage lenders. the number of repossessions in 2007 was  26,000 or 0.22% of all loans. Although this is predicted to rise to 44,000 in 2008 – it is still relatively low.
  • Repossessions in Q2 2008 rose to 11,054 (71% increase on same period in 2007)
  • However, It is significantly lower than in the last housing boom of 1991. when the number of home repossessions reached over 75,000 or 0.77% of loans.

The real problem behind the credit crunch is the repossessions in the US. It was the defaults on the sub prime mortgage loans that have caused a $1.3trillion black hole in the global financial system. The UK is suffering not because UK repossessions are high. But, because British banks were exposed to the credit defaults in US banks.

See: Subprime Credit Crunch explained

In the Future, repossessions rise because the UK recession will cause unemployment. On the other hand interest rate cuts will help homeowners meet mortgage payments. Interest rates (at 4.5%) are much lower than in the last housing slump.

Rate of Mortgage Repossession in the UK

Period 1 2 3
Mortgages Properties Properties
oustanding, taken into taken into
end period possession possession
in period in period
number number % all loans
1972 4,770,000 1,760 0.04
1973 4,862,000 1,220 0.03
1974 4,910,000 3,290 0.07
1975 5,076,000 4,870 0.10
1976 5,322,000 4,950 0.09
1977 5,582,000 4,680 0.08
1978 5,896,000 4,130 0.07
1979 6,058,000 2,910 0.05
1980 6,210,000 3,480 0.06
1981 6,336,000 4,870 0.08
1982 6,518,000 6,900 0.11
1983 6,846,000 8,400 0.12
1984 7,313,000 12,400 0.17
1985 7,717,000 19,300 0.25
1986 8,138,000 24,100 0.30
1987 8,283,000 26,400 0.32
1988 8,564,000 18,500 0.22
1989 9,125,000 15,800 0.17
1990 9,415,000 43,900 0.47
1991 9,815,000 75,500 0.77
1992 9,922,000 68,600 0.69
1993 10,137,000 58,600 0.58
1994 10,410,000 49,200 0.47
1995 10,521,000 49,400 0.47
1996 10,637,000 42,600 0.40
1997 10,738,000 32,800 0.31
1998 10,821,000 33,900 0.31
1999 10,982,000 30,000 0.27
2000 11,173,000 22,900 0.20
2001 11,247,000 18,300 0.16
2002 11,364,000 12,000 0.11
2003 11,529,000 8,500 0.07
2004 11,511,000 8,200 0.07
2005 11,604,000 14,600 0.13
2006 11,742,000 20,900 0.18
2007 11,822,000 26,200 0.22

Council of Mortgage Lenders

Note: The number of mortgage arrears is higher than repossessions. People can fall into arrears without having their home repossesed.

 

2 comments ↓

#1 Sarah on 10.16.08 at 9:31 am

Thank you for answering my question!

#2 Falling Behind With Mortgage Repayments — Economics Blog on 02.06.09 at 11:54 am

[...] Rate of Mortgage repossessions in UK [...]

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