US Dollar Predictions 2009

It is difficult to predict the dollar because there are few different factors pulling the dollar in different directions. Firstly, the dollar has been surprisingly resilient since the US slipped into its worst recession and US interest rates tumbled to near 0%. The resilience of the dollar is not based on economic fundamentals but, a …

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UK Economy 2009

Readers Questions: hi would you please describe the current state of the UK Economy. The UK economy is undergoing a serious recession. These are the main macro economic indicators 1. Economic Growth. source: ONS In the last quarter (Q3 2008), GDP fell 0.5%. GDP is also forecast to fall this quarter. The UK economy is …

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Economic Growth vs Inflation: Which is more Important?

Readers Question: Low inflation but slow economic growth, if any, or GDP growth , with the risk of 2 digits inflation?  Which one is a better option,or the least harmful? The choice is not enticing. These are some point to consider: At the moment the UK economy is experiencing inflation of 5% (above the target …

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Questions on Dollar Collapse

In response to an essay on – Is a Dollar collapse likely? These are some readers questions “US debt is high, but so is European debt”. Could you perhaps elaborate on that or point me to articles that discuss European debt? National debt in EU countries is a real problem. Countries like Italy already have …

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Government Debt Statistics 2008

Readers Comment It is shocking to me that revenues from all my future income tax and even my young children’s future tax payments have already been committed by our national debt. If it is not some kind of nefarious carve-up, why would the UK wage 2 unnecessary wars costing billions when we do not have …

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What is the impact of an increase in UK Tax Burden?

Readers Question: Tax changes in recent years have brought a significant increase in tax burden in the UK expressed as a percentage of GDP. Can you please assess the possible impact of such an increase? An increase in the burden of tax from say 35% of GDP to 38% of GDP could have the following …

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Question on Immigration and the Black Market

Readers Question – what on earth is the black market and how does the immigrant have an impact on that? The black market is a colloquial term that refers to economic activity that is not regulated by the government. It involves economic activity where people don’t declare tax returns or pay VAT e.t.c. It is …

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