One of the great challenges of Monetary and Fiscal Policy is knowing exactly where the economy is. If output is falling, then this justifies an easing of monetary policy (lower interest rates, or in the UK’s current situation more quantitative easing). Recently GDP statistics showed an unexpected 0.4% fall in GDP. This was a key …
Readers Question: Is it a good idea for the Baltic states to adopt the Euro before they have met the convergence criteria? Latvia and Lithuania have a target date of 2013 for joining the Euro. Estonia by Jan 1 2011. The four main convergence criteria for the joining the Euro are: Low inflation Low Government …
Readers Question: Is it possible the phenomenon to have a relationship between GDP and house prices where an increase of the mean GDP to lead to decreased house prices? Yes, An interesting phenomena is that UK house prices have shown an increase during 2009 – despite a prolonged recession. Typically, in a recession, you would …
Fear is a powerful emotion which can have significant economic implications. Often real fears are ignored in a wave of over-exuberance. Sometimes, if people had greater fear of getting into debt and falling asset prices e.t.c, the economy would be less prone to bubbles and the consequent mess. Perhaps fear isn’t the right word. – …
The UK ‘Public sector Debt’ is now approximately £800 billion (July 2009 – ) Question: Who do we owe it to? People and financial institutions who bought the UK bonds and gilts. These are mainly financial bodies such as pension funds, investment trusts. The irony is that many people in the UK who have private …
Today, is the first day of term for my students. A few are in their second year. A few are doing retakes and a few are studying economics for the first time. For many students, taking economics can be challenging because it is a subject they haven’t studied before. There are quite a few new …
As output falls, you would expect a rise in unemployment. If output is lower, firms will need less workers. Okun’s law is a look at the relationship between falling output and rising unemployment. As a rough rule of thumb, in Okun’s original statement of his law, he found a 3% increase in output corresponded to …
Readers Question: I would like to know more on the issue of who exactly benefits from the UK national debt that my great grandchildren are going to be paying. It is helpful to think of the three aspects of the government debt Structural deficit – related to above inflationary increases on health and education and …