Will Conflict in Middle East Cause More Inflation

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In 1973, in response to the Yom Kippur War, OPEC introduced an oil embargo which caused prices to rise 300%. It ushered in an era of high inflation and political volatility. In 1979, the Iranian revolution caused another 300% rise in oil prices which caused a secondary inflation shock and the deep recession of 1981. …

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What happens when Economies Collapse?

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Between 1991 and 1998, Russian GDP fell an estimated 40%. The transition to a free market economy was plagued by hyperinflation, rising poverty, falling life expectancy and social dysfunction.  Whilst the average citizen saw a marked deterioration in the quality of life, a few oligarchs became intensely rich as they bought state assets at a …

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Where does all the government spending go?

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Why is there No Money Left?Watch this video on YouTube Last July, the new Chancellor Rachel Reeves, announced winter fuel payments for pensioners would be means tested. She hoped this brave and bold decision to stabilise Britain’s finances would be welcomed as a sign Labour were a serious government full of serious people. Labour Ministers …

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Warnings of Financial Crisis 2025

  Since the start of the year the dollar has fallen 9%. The global reserve currency is under pressure. (BTW: real problem in Japan was 30 and 40 year bonds) Yet at the same time, bond yields are rising creating a headache for the government and financial system. In Japan, the recent surge in bond …

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The 1980s The Decade That Divided Britain

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The 1980s was a decade of divides. The proud industrial heartlands of the north suffering irreversible decline. The City of London enjoying an unprecedented boom. In the early 80s, Unemployment soared to the highest level since the Great Depression, manufacturing fell off a cliff. But not everyone suffered in the 80s. Financial liberalisation and tax …

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Could UK Economy Make An Unexpectedly Strong Recovery?

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People often observe my videos/articles on the UK economy tend to be doom and gloom, this is partly the youtube alogorithm, but mainly because the UK economy really hasn’t been doing very well, whether you look at average wages, productivity or housing costs, it’s pretty grim and you can’t change these facts. And there is …

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Why are Bond Yields Rising Everywhere?

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Why are Bond Yields RISING FAST Everywhere?Watch this video on YouTube For decades, Japan had artificially low interest rates, but since 2022, bond yields have risen, and the pace of increase is getting steeper. And when you have debt at 270% of GDP, this is a big deal. Japan has a double crisis – rising …

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