Prospects for US Economy in 2010

This graph illustrates the difference between actual GDP and potential GDP. It also indicates how much Real GDP growth has lagged behind potential growth. This means the US economy currently has substantial spare capacity. This is reflected by a rise in unemployment and factories operating below full capacity. The Real potential GDP illustrates the long …

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Fixing a Broke Economy (Iceland)

Readers Question: I trying to find appropriate policies that the Icelandic government could adopt to deal with the country`s substantial current account deficit. Do you know what policies they are using for the moment, and more importantly which policies they should adopt? Related Problems with Iceland Economy Solving UK Current account deficit At the height …

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Wrong Statistics Cause Policy Problems

One of the great challenges of Monetary and Fiscal Policy is knowing exactly where the economy is. If output is falling, then this justifies an easing of monetary policy (lower interest rates, or in the UK’s current situation more quantitative easing). Recently GDP statistics showed an unexpected 0.4% fall in GDP. This was a key …

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Should the Baltic States join the Euro

Readers Question: Is it a good idea for the Baltic states to adopt the Euro before they have met the convergence criteria? Latvia and Lithuania have a target date of 2013 for joining the Euro. Estonia by Jan 1 2011. The four main convergence criteria for the joining the Euro are: Low inflation Low Government …

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Question: Can higher GDP lead to lower house prices?

Readers Question: Is it possible the phenomenon to have a relationship between GDP and house prices where an increase of the mean GDP to lead to decreased house prices? Yes, An interesting phenomena is that UK house prices have shown an increase during 2009 – despite a prolonged recession. Typically, in a recession, you would …

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Economic Fears

Fear is a powerful emotion which can have significant economic implications. Often real fears are ignored in a wave of over-exuberance. Sometimes, if people had greater fear of getting into debt and falling asset prices e.t.c, the economy would be less prone to bubbles and the consequent mess. Perhaps fear isn’t the right word. – …

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Questions on Public Debt

The UK ‘Public sector Debt’ is now approximately £800 billion (July 2009 – ) Question: Who do we owe it to? People and financial institutions who bought the UK bonds and gilts. These are mainly financial bodies such as pension funds, investment trusts. The irony is that many people in the UK who have private …

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Starting Economics

Today, is the first day of term for my students. A few are in their second year. A few are doing retakes and a few are studying economics for the first time. For many students, taking economics can be challenging because it is a subject they haven’t studied before. There are quite a few new …

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