Economic Fears

Fear is a powerful emotion which can have significant economic implications. Often real fears are ignored in a wave of over-exuberance. Sometimes, if people had greater fear of getting into debt and falling asset prices e.t.c, the economy would be less prone to bubbles and the consequent mess. Perhaps fear isn’t the right word. – …

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Questions on Public Debt

The UK ‘Public sector Debt’ is now approximately £800 billion (July 2009 – ) Question: Who do we owe it to? People and financial institutions who bought the UK bonds and gilts. These are mainly financial bodies such as pension funds, investment trusts. The irony is that many people in the UK who have private …

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Why Does Federal Reserve Buy Treasuries?

Readers Question: Why does the federal reserve buy treasuries? Isn’t that just taking money from one pocket and putting it in another? There are a few reasons the Federal Reserve is buying treasuries. With recession and falling velocity of circulation, the Money supply adjusted for velocity of circulation is showing deflation. Therefore buying Treasures and …

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Safety of The Dollar

The US Dollar is often viewed as a safe haven currency. It is still the world’s reserve currency and the thinking is that if the dollar goes bust the rest of the world will be in an even worse situation. Therefore, during the worst of the economic turmoil, the dollar remained relatively strong because investors …

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Euro as World’s Reserve Currency (2009)

The US dollar surprised many people by retaining its value for a long period during this economic crisis. Despite, 0% interest rates, increasing government debt, and a current account deficit, many were still buying the dollar as it was perceived as ‘relatively safe’ However, the recent plan by US treasury to buy even more assets …

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M4 Growth in UK (2009)

M4 is known as the ‘broad money supply’. It is a measure of notes and coins in circulation (M0) + bank accounts. This includes private-sector retail bank and building society deposits + Private-sector wholesale bank and building society deposits and Certificate of Deposit. The Bank of England produce figures on M4 growth. [link] Money supply …

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US Dollar Predictions 2009

It is difficult to predict the dollar because there are few different factors pulling the dollar in different directions. Firstly, the dollar has been surprisingly resilient since the US slipped into its worst recession and US interest rates tumbled to near 0%. The resilience of the dollar is not based on economic fundamentals but, a …

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Consumer Spending 2008 / 2009

Readers Question: i was wondering if u could give me some insight on how these macroeconomic factors will affect household consumption in 2008/2009. thanks Consumer Spending in the UK This graph shows the strong correlation between consumer spending and economic growth. Since 2005, consumer spending has continued to increase at an average of about 3% …

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