Wealth multiplier effect

The multiplier effect occurs when an initial injection into the circular flow causes a bigger final increase in output. For example, an increase in government spending of £1 billion leading to an increase in national output of £1.5 billion. (giving multiplier effect of 1.5)

The wealth multiplier effect refers to how the ownership of wealth can lead to progressively higher levels of wealth – A wealth multiplier effect occurs due to both capital growth, and the reinvestment of rents, interest and dividends in buying more assets.

The wealth multiplier effect is very similar to the concept of capital accumulation. The economist Thomas Picketty argues that this capital accumulation (wealth multiplier effect) can cause increased inequality when

  • r > g (where r is the rate of return to wealth and g is the economic growth rate.)

Wealth is defined as owning assets – giving a stock value of wealth at a particular time. Wealth can include

  • Cash
  • Shares
  • Government bonds
  • Property
  • Savings in a bank

Causes of wealth multiplier effect

Shares

The ownership of shares enables the holders to grow their wealth over time. This can occur due to both capital gains (increase in the price of shares) and the reinvestment of dividend payments in buying more shares.

Whilst past performance is no guarantee of future results. The value of shares had typically increased by 6 to 7% over the long-term. This is borne out by evidence that the real growth of stock value (S&P 500) between 1950 and 2009 was 7.0% (link) – This takes into account reinvested dividends and inflation.

During this period, economic growth was roughly 2.5 – 3.0%, and this shows that wealthy investors are able to make a greater return than the average growth rate. A wealthy investor who reinvests share dividends will see an increasing share of national income.

Property

The ownership of property can also lead to a significant wealth multiplier effect. Investors can gain both capital gains from the increased value of houses, but also receive rentable income which can be reinvested.

real-house-prices-75-2020

In many countries, house prices have risen above long-term inflation.  Between 1975 and 2006, real UK house prices doubled.

But in addition to capital growth, investors will get rentable income. In the UK, a typical rental income is 6% (Rightmove) – For a house worth £100,000, rentable income might end up being £6,000 a year.

Suppose an investor owns property worth £4 million, and the owner can rent out the property for 6% of its value per year. And from this rental income, the investor reinvests in buying more property.

If there is also house price growth of 5%, then the investor will quickly be able to see an increase in wealth.

Example of wealth multiplier effect

wealth-multiplier-effect6-percent With a rental yield of 6% and property growth of 5%, within two years, an investor has gained nearly £1 million increase in wealth – from an initial wealth of £4 million.

Cash/savings in a bank

With cash or savings in a bank the rate of return on wealth is much lower, especially in the current era of low-interest rates.

Other causes of wealth multiplier effect

  • Wealth can also have another impact on an individual’s fortune. With wealth, individuals may feel more confidence to take risks, e.g. setting up a business using wealth as collateral.
  • Through different family generations, the existence of wealth can help provide better education opportunities, that enable wealth to be passed on to other generations.
  • Inheritance. Wealthy families will typically leave a proportion of wealth to the next generation. This can lead to growing levels of inheritance that enable progressively higher levels of wealth to be passed on.

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