Debt Burden Ratios

Definition of Debt Burden: Debt burden is the cost of servicing debt. For consumers, it is the cost of interest payments on debt. The debt burden will be higher for credit cards and loans with high interest. The debt burden on mortgages will be relatively lower compared to the value of the loan.

EconomicsHelp.org
Debt Burden Ratios
Key measures used to judge debt sustainability
Debt-to-GDP
Debt/
GDP × 100
Overall public debt relative to the size of the economy.
Debt Service Ratio
(Interest + Principal)/
GDP (or Exports) × 100
Share of income used each year to repay debt.
Interest-to-Revenue
Interest Payments/
Government Revenue × 100
How much of tax revenue is absorbed by interest costs.
Debt-to-Exports
External Debt/
Export Earnings × 100
Ability to repay foreign-currency debt from exports.
Private Debt-to-GDP
Household or Corporate Debt / GDP × 100
Indebtedness of households/firms;
Household Debt Service
(Mortgage + Loan Payments) /
Disposable Income × 100
Pressure on household budgets; higher → less spending capacity.
Tip: Debt burden rises fastest when interest rates jump or growth slows.

 

Country Debt Burden

For countries, the debt burden is the cost of servicing the public debt. Most of this debt burden is a really transfer from one generation to another. However, National debt can be a real debt burden because:

  • If the debt is held externally. E.g. 25% of US debt is held abroad making the US liable for external interest transfers.
  • When debt is held externally, it may also cause a depreciation in the exchange rate and hence a worsening of the terms of trade. (imports more expensive)
  • High public debt may also cause higher taxes which distort work incentives e.t.c

Debt Burden Ratios

This is the ratio of debt burden to income. For example, if you pay £2,000 in debt interest and have an income of £40,000. Your debt burden ratio is 5%

If you a country has a debt burden of £100bn and pays debt interest of £60bn. Its debt burden is 60%.

Sometimes the debt burden is measured as GDP / Total debt.

Top 10 Debt Service Burden

RankCountryDebt-Service Burden
(Interest as % of Government Revenue)
1Lebanon~35–50%
2Sri Lanka~25–45%
3Zambia~30–45%
4Ghana~25–40%
5Egypt~20–35%
6Pakistan~20–35%
7Tunisia~15–30%
8Kenya~15–30%
9Jordan~12–25%
10Nigeria~15–30%

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