Where is US Economy Heading 2010?

Readers Question: Where is the US economy headed? Is it inflation or depression? Recently, Goldman Sachs predicted a rough year ahead for the US Dollar. They forecast the dollar may fall against Pound Sterling to $1.85 in 12 months. Against the Euro, they forsee it to fall to $1.55 in a year’s time. Exchange rates …

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Economics in One Lesson

It’s the time of the year when many students are getting to start economics for the first time. It can be a little confusing with so many new concepts and words. But, if we had just one lesson, what could we teach about economics? Society wishes to optimise the distribution of resources. Economics considers how …

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Effect of tax on inequality – example from UK 2010

There is often much discussion about the impact of tax and benefits on the distribution of income. This is an interesting graph which shows the impact of different taxes and benefits on income distribution. As expected, direct taxes (like income tax) are progressive – i.e. they take a bigger % of income from high earners. …

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Debt Level Reductions

Readers Question: My question is if some many people are aware of this debt and credit problem, why are governments continuing this policy? Debt is nothing more than future taxes which has a crowding out effect. It is a statement that says, government is a more efficient player in the market than individuals. (from Rapid …

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Risks of Rapid Rise in Debt

One feature of the past few years is the rapid rise in government borrowing. – not just a rise in real debt but a rise in debt to GDP. This means debt burdens are a bigger % of National Output. It’s not the first time this has happened. A rise in debt to GDP typically …

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What Would Happen if Greece Defaults on Debt?

Greece is facing a very difficult situation with it’s bond market reduced to ‘junk bond status’ Interest rate on two year Greek bonds have an interest rate of 18%. See: European Fiscal Crisis Countries have experienced higher levels of government debt as a % of GDP. However, in the case of Greece, there appears a …

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Drastic Economic Measures for Greece, 2010

Whilst the UK is slowly struggling out of recession – spare a thought for Greece, who are experiencing a real economic crisis – partly of their own making – and exacerbated by the straitjacket that EURO membership entails. The Greek economy has several significant problems Current account deficit of 14% of GDP – their exports …

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Prospects for US Economy in 2010

This graph illustrates the difference between actual GDP and potential GDP. It also indicates how much Real GDP growth has lagged behind potential growth. This means the US economy currently has substantial spare capacity. This is reflected by a rise in unemployment and factories operating below full capacity. The Real potential GDP illustrates the long …

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