Difficulty of reducing government debt

Most western economies are facing the prospect of record peace time government debt levels. The EU Maastrict Criteria stated that the maximum budget deficit member countries could run is a budget deficit of 3% of GDP. (By the way, I am glad this target for government borrowing has not been enforced. That would have been …

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Prospects for US Economy in 2010

This graph illustrates the difference between actual GDP and potential GDP. It also indicates how much Real GDP growth has lagged behind potential growth. This means the US economy currently has substantial spare capacity. This is reflected by a rise in unemployment and factories operating below full capacity. The Real potential GDP illustrates the long …

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Fixing a Broke Economy (Iceland)

Readers Question: I trying to find appropriate policies that the Icelandic government could adopt to deal with the country`s substantial current account deficit. Do you know what policies they are using for the moment, and more importantly which policies they should adopt? Related Problems with Iceland Economy Solving UK Current account deficit At the height …

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Wrong Statistics Cause Policy Problems

One of the great challenges of Monetary and Fiscal Policy is knowing exactly where the economy is. If output is falling, then this justifies an easing of monetary policy (lower interest rates, or in the UK’s current situation more quantitative easing). Recently GDP statistics showed an unexpected 0.4% fall in GDP. This was a key …

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Should the Baltic States join the Euro

Readers Question: Is it a good idea for the Baltic states to adopt the Euro before they have met the convergence criteria? Latvia and Lithuania have a target date of 2013 for joining the Euro. Estonia by Jan 1 2011. The four main convergence criteria for the joining the Euro are: Low inflation Low Government …

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Question: Difference between an Underdeveloped Economy and Depression

Readers Question: What is the difference between depression economy and underdeveloped economy? A depression economy suggests the economy is experiencing a deep recession, characterised by falling output and rising unemployment. An economy experiencing a recession could have a high GDP per Capita or a low GDP per capita. E.g. UK and the US have both …

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Starting Economics

Today, is the first day of term for my students. A few are in their second year. A few are doing retakes and a few are studying economics for the first time. For many students, taking economics can be challenging because it is a subject they haven’t studied before. There are quite a few new …

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UK Personal Debt

Personal debt in the UK fell for the first time since records began in 1993. Personal borrowing fell by £600m in July, taking the total owed by individuals down to £1.457 trillion. Personal debt still exceeds total UK GDP. The main cause of the fall in personal borrowing was homeowners who were able to repay …

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