Should Greece Leave The Euro?

Readers Question: Should Greece Leave the Euro? Arguments for and against Greece leaving the Euro. One thing is clear, the Greek situation is dire. Government debt is very high, yet extremely harsh austerity measures have only succeeded in pushing the economy back into recession and leading to much higher unemployment. Within the Eurozone, Greece is …

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Impact of Chinese purchase of US dollars

Readers question: Nor do I understand how they can weaken their currency through government intervention, if they are not intervening.  Is it only US that is complaining about the value of the Yuan? The main thing is that Chinese Central Banks, with the support of the Chinese government are purchasing foreign assets, such as US …

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Fiscal Space

Definition of Fiscal Space – The difference between the current level of public debt and the level of debt that is sustainable and manageable. A key issue for many advanced economies is being aware of the level of government borrowing that is sustainable in the long term. Basically, how much can a government borrowing without …

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Types of Economic Crisis

In the past few years, we have had a bewildering array of different crisis – credit crunch, financial crisis, fiscal crisis, banking crisis, economic crisis, depression economics, oil price shock, currency crisis, housing crashes and more. Arguably, we should be calling continued mass unemployment a crisis. In many ways, it is more serious than a …

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Euro Forecast 2010

If you are studying for exams, you will hopefully, be learning that the value of a currency is generally influenced by factors such as: Interest rates – low interest rates lead to hot money flows out of economy and  a weaker exchange rate. Relative inflation rates – Higher inflation makes a countries exports uncompetitive and …

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Why Not Just Default on government debt?

A few people have asked why don’t government’s just default and not pay their debt back? Firstly, a government could effectively default just by printing money, creating inflation and making it easier to pay debt back. But, if the government does create inflation (print money) to pay off its debt or simply refuses to pay, …

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Forecasts for Canadian and US Dollar

Readers Question What are your predictions for us/Canadian dollar currency. Do you think they will reach par in 2009 ? Recently the Canadian dollar has been weak against the US dollar. This is because of the plunge in commodity prices which depress Canadian export revenues and decrease value of Canadian Dollar. Despite many problems in …

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