Readers Question. You said that if Greece leaves the Euro, the Drachma will depreciate. Why will this happen? If Greece did leave the Euro, then the currency which replaced the Euro, would definitely fall in value. Greeks would soon see the price of imports increase. The foreign price of Greek exports would fall. If Greece …
Readers Question. Lastly, what effect would a poor unemployment figure (e.g. lower than expected nonfarm payroll numbers) have on a country’s currency? Is it likely to strengthen (due to lower expectations of inflation) or weaken (due to less domestic productivity and higher imports? Poor unemployment figures would probably weaken the currency. If unemployment figures are …
Question: Why do we have a VAT rate of 17.5% on many ordinary goods and a tax rate on petrol / tobacco of over 50% – yet when people propose a tax of 0.01% on currency transactions it is denounced as unfair and economically damaging? At the G20 summit, Gordon Brown, proposed a version of …
Many argue that on simple purchasing power parity, the Chinese currency the Renminbi is undervalued by approximately 30%. This is a source of friction in the US, with firms claiming they lose out to a cheap Chinese currency which can undercut US goods. The Chinese government wish to keep the currency undervalued because: A weaker …
1) You say depreciation causes inflation for the three reasons you mention, but later, that in the long run, a higher rate of inflation will cause depreciation. So my first question is how are these two phenomena linked? Is ‘long run’ the key; i.e. it takes a prolonged high inflation to cause a devaluation, but …
Predicting exchange rates is not as easy as some experts may suggest. There are many factors at work in determining exchange rates – economic fundamentals are only part of the equation. To predict future exchange rate movements we need to look at a variety of factors. The most important include: Interest Rate Movements. Interest rates …
On Wednesday 16 September 1992, the UK economy was in deep recession, with unemployment of 10% interest rates of 10%, and the Pound was struggling to maintain its value against the D-Mark. As soon as markets opened, financial investors piled in to sell pounds to a beleaguered government, and Sterling fell, reaching the floor of …
Japan is the 4th largest economy in the world. It is a leader in electronic innovation, high-speed trains and robots. Yet, in the past two decades, it has seen an unprecedented decline in real wages. Whilst most economies have been trying to reduce inflation, Japan has been desperately trying to do the opposite – to …