Money Supply is an important indicator of economic activity. A slowdown in money supply growth hints the EU is facing the prospect of very low inflation or even deflation. Since the start of 2010, the growth of M1 has fallen significantly for the Euro area. These figures show the whole Eurozone area, however, in the …
The highest credit rating is a AAA rating with ‘stable outlook’. A AAA credit rating implies there is no remote chance of default on government debt. A negative AAA credit rating implies there is a chance of downgrading the debt to AA. A credit rating of BBB- or higher, it is said to be ‘investment …
Readers Question: How likely are we to go into a double dip recession? There are many reasons to be gloomy about the current global economic prospects. A technical recession involves two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth. We may avoid this actual fall in GDP, but we will definitely experience below trend economic growth – …
Standard & Poor downgraded the US fiscal position from AAA to AA. This reflects the credit rating agencies believe that the US fiscal position has deteriorated and they are more pessimistic over long term fiscal consolidation in the US. It means that the rating agency feels the threat of US defaulting on its federal debt …
Readers Question: What is Canada’s National debt? It is a little hard to decipher as there seem to be two different measures. Net Federal Debt – NetDebt owned by federal government Gross General Government Debt The second statistic – Gross General Government debt includes debt by local and state governments and so gives a higher …
The Net international investment Position (IIP) measures the balance of gross assets – gross liabilities. An asset means the UK has a claim on the rest of the world. A liability means the rest of the world has a claim on the UK. There are 4 sections of net international investment. direct investment (DI) portfolio …
The Chairman of the Federal Reserve Ben Bernake recently warned that deep spending cuts could be “self-defeating to the still-fragile recovery”. Recent data showed that the global economic recovery remains fragile. The pace of economic growth is being held back by a combination of falling house prices, weak bank lending, high oil prices and lack …
Readers Question: On Jan 2009 I asked a question on the greek current account deficit, the fixed EUR rate, the lack of competitiveness and the debt load and you expanded brilliantly on the dangers of the twin deficits and the deteriorating Greek credit quality. Now I just need to make a comment that all the …