Why Did Europe Expect Fiscal Consolidation to Work?

Readers Question. Can you explain why the Government and Economic Commentators  are talking about a multiplier (in relation to budget cuts) of between 0.5 and 1, whereas I always thought that the GDP multiplier was bigger than this. Just to summarise a multiplier of 0.5 would mean fiscal consolidation (spending cuts) of £1bn, would lead …

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UK Retail Sales Oct 2012

The amount of UK retail sales increased by 2.5% in the 12 months from September 2011 to September 2012. This measure includes the amount (quantity) of goods in all retailing, seasonally adjusted. The amount spent (value of goods) increased by 3.2% Annual store price inflation was estimated to be 0.7 %. This suggests that the …

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OBR Admit Failure to Predict the Double Dip Recession

One feature of the current economic malaise is that growth predictions for the UK economy have been consistently over-optimistic. For example, the Office for Budget Responsibility originally forecast economic growth of 5.7% between 2010 to mid 2012. The economy failed to meet this target, growing by just 0.9% during this period. To be fair to …

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How To Improve the American Standard of Living?

Readers Question: What should the government do to improve the American standard of living? How could the President + Congress, make the biggest difference to improving American standards of living in the long run? These are a few policies which I feel would improve US living standards. 1. Reduce Unemployment. The rise in US unemployment …

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Key Issues Affecting UK economy 2012

What are the key issues affecting the UK economy over the next few years? Recession and Recovery The biggest problem facing the UK economy is the lack of economic recovery. After a fall in GDP of 6% in 2008/09, the economy briefly recovered, but the recent double dip recession of 2012 has left the UK …

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Would Devaluation Help Greece?

Readers Question: Would a devaluation help Greece? If you look at the Greek economy, their exchange rate has been effectively overvalued for several years. This overvalued exchange rate has caused Greek exports to be relatively uncompetitive and has caused various economics problems. Combined with efforts to tackle an unsustainable debt level, the over-valuation has contributed …

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Osborne Austerity Measures are not Working

The Chancellor George Osborne is coming under pressure to alter government policy and promote economic growth through higher public spending financed by government borrowing. After two years of focusing on deficit reduction, critics argue the government should change approach and concentrate on getting the economy out of the persistent recession. The IMF recently stated: “The …

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