A look at the economics reasons for high youth unemployment (16-25) in the UK.
During the recession, youth unemployment rose at a faster rate than the main unemployment rate. After peaking at 20% (1 million) in early 2012, youth unemployment has recently fallen to 18.5 %
The reasons for youth unemployment are fairly similar to other causes of unemployment. They include:
- Lack of Qualifications. Young people without any skills are much more likely to be unemployed (structural unemployment) A report by Centre for Cities suggest there is a correlation between youth unemployment and poor GCSE results in Maths and English. To some extent the service sector has offered more unskilled jobs such as bar work, supermarket checkout and waiters. However, the nature of the labour market is that many young people lack the necessary skills and training to impress employers.
- Geographical Unemployment. Youth unemployment is often focused in certain areas – usually inner cities where there is a cycle of low achievement and low expectations. For example, the employment rate for 16-24 year olds is only 64% in the North East compared to a national average of 70%
- Real Wage Unemployment. You could argue unemployment is caused by labour market rigidities and wages being above the equilibrium rate. In the UK, there is a special introductory NMW rate of £3.68 for the for 16-18 olds. It is significantly lower than the main minimum wage of £6.08 for those over 21. (2011/12). However, nominal wage growth has been muted leading to falls in real wages. This has increased potential for real wage unemployment
- Cyclical Unemployment. The biggest cause of unemployment in UK is often cyclical or demand-deficient unemployment. This is unemployment caused by the falling output which occurs during the recession. During the 2008 recession, youth unemployment increased at a faster rate than the actual unemployment rate. It is often young workers who are more likely to experience unemployment because with the least experience they are the easiest to remove. Also, firms often don’t sack workers, but they do stop taking on new (young) workers.
- Frictional unemployment. School leavers may just take time to find the right work.
- Cultural / Social factors. Youth unemployment is often highest amongst deprived areas where there is pessimism over job prospects. Youth unemployment is often higher among people who have history of broken families, drug use or criminal record.
- Underground Economy. Official Unemployment may occur in areas where there is a thriving black economy. i.e. there are unofficial jobs for people to take. These jobs may be illegal such as dealing in soft drugs. However, it is hard to ascertain the extent of these unofficial jobs and it is easy to make sweeping generalisations about deprived areas.
- Hysteresis. Hysteresis is the idea that past unemployment trends are likely to cause future unemployment. If young people have been unemployed in the past, it becomes increasingly difficult to get a job. This is because
- Lack of jobs may cause young workers to become demotivated
- A lack of past employment may cause firms to be unwilling to hire in the first place.
- Unemployment means workers don’t have the opportunity to learn skills and on the job training.
Inactivity Rates amongst the Young
Inactivity rates include people who are classed as unemployed, but also includes people who are not economically active, people in education or not actively seeking work. Thus inactivity includes people in education and training, but also those discouraged to leave the labour market.
- Unemployment Statistics
- Causes of Unemployment
- Spanish Youth Unemployment
- Costs of unemployment
- NEET – levels of young people Not in Employment, Education and Training
- Case Studies on Youth Unemployment at FT
- Unemployment statistics at ONS