Forecasts Pound and Euro in 2012

Despite the weakness of the UK economy, the Pound is forecast to rise against the Euro, due to the ongoing uncertainty surrounding the debt crisis in the Eurozone. With Greece and other countries at risk of default, and even facing the prospect of a Euro break up, the Pound Sterling looks relatively attractive – despite …

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UK Economy 2012

Since 2007, the UK has experienced a variety of economic shocks which have caused a prolonged period of economic stagnation, high unemployment and uncertainty. In 2011, the economic recovery proved much weaker than expected, yet inflation was stubbornly high. In 2012, fundamental weaknesses are likely to keep the UK economy depressed with high unemployment and …

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Question: Can a government borrow rather than cut spending?

Readers Question: Why can’t a debt-crippled and deficit-induced state, go on with its most normal economic activities (by borrowing the needed money to make sure that no or at the most, unproductive spendings are curbed, no tax rates up, and no austerity measures) in a bid to emerge out of debt & deficit potholes sooner …

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Thoughts on the Euro

Readers Question on the Euro – How would Euro be affected if the UK had been a member? Before the credit crisis and economic recession, I felt the Euro would be damaging to the UK economy. To summarise this was because: Lack of Independent monetary policy, e.g. interest rates set by the ECB may not …

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Should We Build More Houses in UK?

A feature of the UK housing market is the low quantity of new houses built compared to the long term growth in demand. Despite high house prices, firms are unable / unwilling to build as many as market forces dictate. The supply of housing is price inelastic. The lack of supply has meant that the …

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Spending Your Way to Full Employment

Readers Question: Can you Spend Your Way to Full Employment? Full employment implies. An economy without a significant negative output gap. Full employment requires positive economic growth, averaging close to the long run trend rate of economic growth. (in UK long run trend rate = 2.5%) Very low unemployment. Economists would say full employment is …

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Readers Question: When Does Keynesian Economics Work?

Readers Question: I have a hunch that Keynesian responses to recession work best in industrial countries such as China and 1930’s USA as opposed to post industrial societies such as the US and UK. In the great depression consumption and production were, generally, in the same countries, e.g. cars produced in America would be consumed …

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