Should we be concerned about a falling savings ratio?

saving-ratio-97-2020

In the Bank of England’s latest forecast for the UK, they predict reasonably good economic growth in term of real GDP. At the same time, forecasts for average real incomes are more pessimistic. The Bank of England suggests UK economic growth will be maintained by consumer spending – spending which will partly be funded by …

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US economy under Obama 2009-2017

us-economic-growth

Barack Obama served as President from Jan 2009 – Jan 2017. When Obama came to office in Jan 2009, the US economy was in a deep recession, with falling real GDP, high unemployment and rising levels of government borrowing. As President, Obama oversaw a moderate fiscal expansion which helped to promote economic recovery and falling …

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Inflation and Depreciation

global-inflation-world-bank

Summary – If a country has a higher inflation rate than its competitors, then its good will be increasing in price at a faster rate and therefore, they will become relatively less competitive. It will experience less demand for its exports and therefore less demand for its currency. This will tend to cause a depreciation …

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Policies to solve deflation / low inflation

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Deflation means a fall in prices (a negative inflation rate). Though policymakers should generally be concerned if there is an inflation rate less than the target of 2%.   For example, in the Eurozone Jan 2015, the headline inflation rate is -0.2%. Even if we strip away volatile prices like oil, core inflation is 0.8%. …

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Consumer Expectations

consumer-expectations

Consumer expectations refer to the economic outlook of households. Expectations will have a significant bearing on current economic activity. If people expect an improvement in the economic outlook, they will be more willing to borrow and buy goods. But, with negative expectations, they will cut back on spending and be more risk-averse. Expectations may also influence …

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Expansionary Monetary Policy

Expansionary monetary policy aims to increase aggregate demand and economic growth in the economy. Expansionary monetary policy involves cutting interest rates or increasing the money supply to boost economic activity. It could also be termed a ‘loosening of monetary policy’. It is the opposite of ‘tight’ monetary policy. When to pursue expansionary monetary policy The …

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Are falling oil prices good for the economy?

oil prices

In recent months, we have seen a dramatic drop in oil prices. For many consumers and business, this fall in the price of oil will be welcome reduction in the cost of living and a reduction in the cost of business. However, is such a steep fall in oil prices good for the economy? Benefits of …

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Multiplier and income tax cuts

multiplier-effect

Readers Question: Explain how a change in the rate of income tax is likely to affect the size of the national income multiplier ? The National Income Multiplier says that an initial increase in spending (injections J) can cause further rounds of spending. Therefore, the final increase in National Income (Y) is greater than the …

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