Should The Central Bank Worry About Inflation of 5%? (2011)

In September 2011, CPI inflation rose to 5.2%, well above the government’s inflation target of 2%. RPI inflation is even higher at 5.6% Why have the Bank of England kept interest rates at 0.5% despite this increase in inflation? Should we not be more concerned about inflation? Price indices and inflation ONS Reasons To be …

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Readers Question: Can Central Banks continuously print money to avoid recession?

Readers Question. If central banks collectively and continuously print money, does this mean there will never be a financial crisis and recession? If central banks collectively and continuously print money then we could end up with a different type of financial crisis. Instead of a recession (falling output), we could get a situation of high …

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Implications of US Debt Downgrade 2011

Standard & Poor downgraded the US fiscal position from AAA to AA. This reflects the credit rating agencies believe that the US fiscal position has deteriorated and they are more pessimistic over long term fiscal consolidation in the US. It means that the rating agency feels the threat of US defaulting on its federal debt …

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Reason for Mortgage Defaults

Readers Question: What have been the drivers of the mortgage default rate in the 2008 recession compared to the late 1980s/ 1990s? Despite the depth of the recession in 2008, the mortgage default rate in the UK has  been lower in the current recession than in the early 1990s. The peak for home repossessions occurred …

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Should Greece Leave The Euro?

Readers Question: Should Greece Leave the Euro? Arguments for and against Greece leaving the Euro. One thing is clear, the Greek situation is dire. Government debt is very high, yet extremely harsh austerity measures have only succeeded in pushing the economy back into recession and leading to much higher unemployment. Within the Eurozone, Greece is …

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Safe Investments in Times of Uncertainty

In times of uncertainty, people seek to find a safe investment. But, what are safe investments? Gold is currently over $1,500 May 2011 Gold / Silver. These are typically seen as a good investment and safeguard against inflation. Inflation decreases the value of money, but gold retains its value. With experiments in quantitative easing, there …

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Forecast for Sterling to Dollar 2011

Though the UK economy may appear very weak to British consumers who are facing tax rises and spending cuts, there are various reasons which explain why sterling has recently been stronger and could continue its upward movement. Prospect of Higher Interest rates. With one of the highest inflation rates in Europe, and higher than US, …

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