Balanced Budget

Definition of Balanced budget: When total government spending equals government tax receipts. A budget surplus when spending is less than revenue is also considered a balanced budget.

Usually, governments have a political incentive to spend more money than they actually have. This leads to a budget deficit because they need to borrow from the private sector. However, if the government increase taxes then they might be able to balance the budget.

UK Government Borrowing 1955-2024

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This shows there was a brief period of a balanced budget in 1998-99 to 2001-02. Previously there had been surplus in 1969-90, 1988-89,

Balanced Budget over course of Economic Cycle

Usually, during a downturn in the economy, the government get a fiscal deficit. However, during a period of growth this deficit declines due to increased tax revenues and lower spending. Therefore, when people refer to a balanced budget they usually mean during the course of the trade cycle

The chancellor’s golden rule is to allow government borrowing of up to 3% of GDP

Balanced Budget Constitutional Amendment

us-federal-deficit-1900-forecast

US federal deficit was briefly in surplus in 2000.

The US has toyed with the idea of a constitutional amendment to legally bind the Government to limit borrowing. It was felt that a legal amendment would prevent political pressures from creating a large deficit. However, the amendment was narrowly defeated. Amongst other arguments, it was suggested that a balanced budget can be harmful in a period of recession.

Deficit and balance in wider economy

In one sense a government budget deficit requires a surplus in private sector/external – rest of world.

uk-sectoral-balances-2025

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