Advanced Evaluation for A-Level Economics

Suppose you had a question discuss the effect of higher interest rates on the economy.? The basic analysis is that higher interest rates reduce AD and therefore, lead to lower real GDP. A good evaluation would be to say the effect depends on the state of the economy.   This shows the effect of a …

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Will Oil Shock Cause Fall in House Prices?

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At the start of the year, the consensus was that 2026 would see moderate house price growth. But with mortgage rates soaring and the global economy slowing sharply, these forecasts now look outdated. Oil prices have seen one of their biggest monthly increases, and the Bank of England has warned that interest rates may need …

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Evaluation for Micro Economics

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Evaluation is the ability to look at issues from a critical perspective; to look at other potential outcomes. Evaluation questions will typically begin with words like, discuss, evaluate, to what extent, assess.

These are some ways to get evaluation marks for microeconomics. (note there are potentially more ways to evaluate but this gives a few ideas)

evaluation-micro

1. Elasticity. e.g the effect of a tax increase depends upon the elasticity of demand. If demand for cigarettes is inelastic, a tax will be relatively ineffective in reducing demand. However, if demand for a good is quite price elastic, then a tax increase will reduce demand significantly. If we look at the effect of a minimum wage or trade union, the impact will also depend on the elasticity of demand. For example, if demand and supply are inelastic, then the impact of a minimum wage on unemployment will be relatively small.

The impact of a subsidy depends on the elasticity of demand

effect-increase-supply-elasticity-volatility

If demand is price elastic (e.g. diagram on the left, then a subsidy causes a bigger percentage change in demand. If demand is price inelastic, then a subsidy only causes a small rise in demand.

2. Significance: A rise in the price of oil has a significant impact on the costs of firms. A rise in the price of water is much less significant.

For example – What is the impact of a rise in the price of coffee beans on coffee shops like Starbucks? Estimates suggest that coffee beans only account for 2% of the final price of a Starbucks coffee, therefore it will be relatively insignificant. Starbucks would be more greatly affected by a change in city centre rents or an increase in the minimum wage.

For a question on – discuss why women get lower wages than men, you could one reason why women get lower paid than men is men tend to gain more qualifications. However, this point is relatively insignificant because women’s academic qualifications have, more or less, caught up with men and so this point is no longer so significant as it was 40 years ago.

3. Depends on the industry. If we are examining whether a merger is in the public interest, it depends very much on the industry in question. For example a merger between two firms in the car industry may enable significant economies of scale, because in that industry there are high fixed costs. However, if the merger was between two firms in the retail business, the scope for economies of scale is much less. Therefore, the Competition and Markets Authority will look at the scope for economies of scale in the industry.

economies-of-scale-growth-in-firm

 

4. Short Term / Long Term. The impact of a rise in oil prices in the short term is likely to involve only a small fall in demand because demand is inelastic. But, over time demand becomes more elastic as people start to find alternatives to oil, such as hybrid cars. Therefore, the effect of rising oil prices will be different in the long term to the short term.

higher-price-oil-elasticity-time-lagIn the short-term, demand

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Winner and Losers from the Iran Oil Shock Explained

The conflict is upending the global economy with  UK consumer confidence has collapsed in the past few weeks from – 30 in Feb to -53 in March. UK households know the economic fallout will be disastrous; memories of 2022 are still fresh in the mind.   The OECD agrees, it has reduced growth forecasts and …

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Effect of Oil Shock on UK Economy

With bond yields seeing their largest daily increase since the Liz Truss era, is the ghost of 2022 returning – well oil and gas prices are rising, mortgage rates are increasing, there is a higher inflation forecast and now risk of recession. The Resolution Foundation model prolonged highs in gas prices could increase the price …

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Should We Drill in the North Sea for Oil and Gas?

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  With oil and gas prices soaring, why is the UK choosing to import oil and gas rather than maximise its own North Sea oil and gas? Supporters of more drilling argue that increasing North Sea energy production would reduce household bills, protect jobs, increase tax revenues and improve energy security. Critics argue it is …

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Why 2026 Oil Crisis is About More Than Just Oil

oil-prices-real-recession

For two weeks, the Strait of Hormuz — the world’s most important oil chokepoint — has been effectively closed. Nearly 20% of global oil supply is disrupted. Petrol pumps in parts of Asia are already running dry. If this continues, the world could face the biggest energy shock since the 1970s. The 1973 oil embargo …

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Will 2026 Oil Shock Cause Recession and Market Crash?

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  In recent months, consumer sentiment has plunged to the lowest level since the financial crisis of 2008. But, this hasn’t bothered the stock market. Tariffs, trade wars, conflict, all get shrugged off as the stock market rises to record levels. It is a level of earnings to share prices – not seen since the …

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