Can the UK ever pay off its debts?

uk-national-debt-since-1910

When people talk of UK debt, they usually refer to government debt. This is debt the government has borrowed to finance budget deficits (when government spending is greater than taxation revenue) There is also external debt, which is the net amount the UK (private and public sector) owes abroad. This external debt is high (2011, …

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The link between Money Supply and Inflation

money-supply-inflation

In theory, there is a strong link between the money supply and inflation. If the money supply rises faster than real output, then prices will usually rise. This means if a Central Bank prints more money, we will often (though not always!) get higher inflation. Explanation of why increased money supply causes inflation The money …

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The Luddite Fallacy

luddite-fallacy

The Luddite fallacy is the mistaken belief that new technology leads to higher overall unemployment in the economy. New technology may cause disruption and some workers to lose their job, but the improved technology will also create jobs in other sectors of the economy – balancing out any jobs lost. Historical background In the early …

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Sunk Cost Fallacy

sunk-costs

The sunk cost fallacy is when we continue an action because of our past decisions (time, money, resources) rather than a rational choice of what will maximise our utility at this present time. For example, because we order a big meal and have paid for it, we feel a pressure to eat all the food. …

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Policies to reduce cost of living crisis

petrol-prices-uk-garage

The UK, along with many other countries, is experiencing a real cost of living crisis with inflation rising faster than average wages. The cost of living crisis is driven by higher transport costs, and energy and food prices, and this is forecast to continue to worsen over this winter. What are the various policies which …

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Bond Yield Curves

Recently I wrote about impact of rising bond yields on long term bonds. There is uncertainty whether the rise in bond yields reflects economic growth or worries over government debt. This post explains the inverse relationship between bond yields and bond prices Bond Yield Curve Definition: The bond yield curve reflects the yield on government …

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The impact of an ageing population on the economy

population ageing

What are the implications of an ageing population? An older population presents many challenges to labour markets, government tax, government spending and the wider economy. The Population Timebomb – How An Ageing Population Will Change UsWatch this video on YouTube One of the great achievements of the Twentieth Century is a dramatic rise in life …

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Profit-push inflation

post-war-inflation-uk-68-22

Profit-push inflation is when firms use their market power to put up prices, contributing towards inflation. It is a form of cost-push inflation. Profit-push inflation is sometimes known as ‘greed inflation’ and is related to price gouging. Profit push inflation is not the primary cause of inflation, but it can accelerate existing inflationary pressures. Profit-push …

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