Devaluation of the Indian Rupee

The Indian Rupee has fallen in value against a basket of currencies since independence in 1947. In recent years, the Indian Rupee has continued to depreciate in value. Indian Rupee value against US Dollar In 1990, you could buy $1 for 16 Indian Rupees. By 2013, the value of a Rupee had fallen, so that …

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When will interest rates rise?

inflation-interest-rates

Readers Question: Will interest rates rise? Some say yes, my investment analyst/advisor says no (“because the UK is largely living on credit and the government and bank of England do not want a repeat of 2008”) Interest rates will rise when the Bank of England feel the economy has returned to a normal trend of …

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Implications of higher dependency ratio

Readers Question: What are the implications of a higher dependency ratio? The dependency ratio measures the % of dependent people (not of working age) / number of working people. Children (0-15) + Number of elderly (> 65) ———————————————— Number of working age (16-65) In the western world, we are seeing an increase in the dependency …

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Shortage of Labour and Inflation

labour-shortages

Readers Question: Discuss whether a widespread shortage of labour might be a major cause of inflation. Often a shortage of labour causes inflationary pressure. If firms are struggling to employ sufficient labour, workers are in a position to demand higher wages. This can easily lead to wage inflation which causes inflation. Micro-theory of labour shortages …

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Self-employment tax rises

self-employment-levels

In the recent budget, the chancellor Phillip Hammond announced higher national insurance contributions for the self-employed. Class 4 NICs for the self-employed would rise from 9% to 10% in April 2018 – and then to 11% in April 2019 – on income up to the higher rate threshold of £45,000. The new rates are still …

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Effect of Printing Money on the Economy

money-supply and inflation

Printing money creates a sense of nervousness amongst both economists and the general public. It immediately conjures up memories of hyperinflation in Weimar Germany in 1923 and Zimbabwe in more recent times. If a government prints money faster than the growth of real output it reduces the value of money and this invariably causes inflation. …

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Should we be concerned about a falling savings ratio?

saving-ratio-97-2020

In the Bank of England’s latest forecast for the UK, they predict reasonably good economic growth in term of real GDP. At the same time, forecasts for average real incomes are more pessimistic. The Bank of England suggests UK economic growth will be maintained by consumer spending – spending which will partly be funded by …

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US economy under Obama 2009-2017

us-economic-growth

Barack Obama served as President from Jan 2009 – Jan 2017. When Obama came to office in Jan 2009, the US economy was in a deep recession, with falling real GDP, high unemployment and rising levels of government borrowing. As President, Obama oversaw a moderate fiscal expansion which helped to promote economic recovery and falling …

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