How does inflation affect firms?

Firms generally prefer inflation to be low and stable. If inflation rises above 3 or 4%, firms may see a rise in costs and uncertainty. Inflation can also cause firms problems of rising costs, falling profitability, and a decline in international competitiveness. However, inflation is not necessarily damaging for a firm – especially, if they …

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Guidance for setting monetary policy

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What factors should we consider when setting monetary policy? Basics of monetary policy If inflation is above the target and economic growth too fast, the Bank will likely increase interest rates. Higher interest rates increase the cost of borrowing and reduce investment/consumer spending – leading to a lower rate of economic growth. See more at …

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Pros and Cons of a Congestion Charge

An examination of the advantages and disadvantages of congestion charges: Some cities, such as London have introduced a congestion charge. The aim of a congestion charge is: Reduce congestion. Therefore reduce time wasted and reduce costs for business Reduce pollution. Fewer cars will lead to less pollution. Make city centres more attractive for pedestrians and …

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The natural rate of interest

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The natural rate of interest is the interest rate consistent with maintaining economic growth at its trend rate and stable inflation. Another definition of the natural rate of interest is: “the real interest rate consistent with real GDP equalling its potential level (potential GDP) in the absence of transitory shocks to demand. (FR) In other …

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Predicting inflation in the short term

Long-term economic forecasting can be very difficult. A well known joke by John Kenneth Galbraith is: “The only function of economic forecasting is to make astrology look respectable.” However, although there is some truth in this wisecrack, in the short term, we can be reasonably confident about predictions for inflation. In particular, if we see …

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Would the Pound have fallen without Brexit?

Apologies for lower posting volume recently. I am writing a book, which will be published some time in 2017. Also, in the past week I have been in New York, which has been a harsh lesson in the impact of a falling value of the Pound. Though fortunately, I earn some money in US dollars …

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Definition of fiscal responsibility

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Fiscal responsibility implies a government pursues the appropriate level of government spending and tax to: Maintain sustainable public finances. Ensure fiscal policy aids the optimal rate of economic growth. Maintain appropriate levels of public investment. The UK chancellor has proposed a fiscal charter – which requires the government to run a budget surplus within three …

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Blaming immigrants and a tolerant society

I recently watched a BBC documentary (No place to call home) about Britain’s housing crisis, focusing on a suburb of London (Dagenham). It was an insight into the desperate situation many find themselves in because of a shortage of housing, very high rents and a feeling the council / government is unable to help with …

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