Factors affecting natural gas prices

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The price of natural gas is determined by several supply and demand factors. Source: IMF Commodity prices (look for left column – excel database) The sharp increase in the price of natural gas in 2021/22 reflects concerns over the availability of supply from Russia and the economic recovery which has led to greater demand. Since …

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Russian economy facing economic crisis

Russian Ruble

Russia is a medium sized economic with a GDP of $1.48 trillion (USD) about half the size of the UK $2.7 trillion (2020) The strengths of the economy is based on exports of oil and natural gas. And with these sales, since 2014, Russia has built up foreign currency reserves of $630bn – a large …

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The impact of economic sanctions – do they work?

impact-of-sanctions

Economic sanctions are policies designed to hurt the economy of a target country. Sanctions can involve trade embargoes, seizure of assets, travel bans and limits on capital flows. The aim of sanctions is usually to provide a political signal of disapproval which stop short of military action. They can be imposed by one country unilaterally, …

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Economic impact of war

impact-of-war

Putting aside the very real human cost, war has also serious economic costs – damage to infrastructure, a decline in the working population, inflation, shortages, uncertainty, a rise in debt and disruption to normal economic activity. From some perspectives, war can appear to be beneficial in terms of creating demand, employment, innovation and profits for …

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The impact of inflation in developing economies

global-inflation-rate-1981-2021

Inflation is a sustained rise in prices and increase in the cost of living. The general costs of higher inflation will be reduced purchasing power of money, fall in the value of savings, a depreciation in the exchange rate, less certainty for firms and the inconvenience of dealing with changing prices. In addition, developing economies …

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Why is cost of living in UK so expensive?

house-price-earnings-ratio-uk-regions-1996-2021

Readers Question: Why is the cost of living in the UK so expensive? The cost of living depends on: The price of basic necessities – food, fuel, heating, transport, housing/rent, entertainment. The effective cost of living also depends on real wages. It is expensive to live in Nordic countries, but real wages tend to be …

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List of Gross External Debt by Country

external-debt-as-percent-gdp

External debt is the total public (government) and private debt owed to non-residents repayable in internationally accepted currencies, goods, or services. This is gross (total) external debt. It does not measure net debt.

External debt is different to measures of public (government) debt. See: List of national debt by country.

Some countries with very high levels of external debt, also have very high levels of external credit. For example, Ireland, United Kingdom, Switzerland and Singapore have high levels of assets – i.e. they hold the external debt of other countries. In fact, they are net international creditors because there assets are greater than their debt levels.

Countries with large banking systems tend to have higher levels of external debt because they correspondingly hold more international assets. The problem comes when the assets they hold fall in value.

However, some countries can have high external debt because of past borrowing requirements and high levels of government debt. For example, Greece has one of the highest levels of external debt 298% of GDP. This is largely due to the debt crisis of 2010 onwards where Greek debt became overwhelming and they required foreign borrowing.

external-debt-as-percent-gdp

External debt can be problematic for developing countries if interest payments on their external debt levels impact on a countries ability to invest and spend on current public services.

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Biflation – definition and explanation

us-inflation-cpi-cpi-food-energy-2000-2021

Biflation is a term used to describe a period where some prices are rising and some prices are falling. It can appear we have both inflation and deflation at the same time. CPI = Headline inflation rate CPI less food and energy  = underlying or core inflation. In the above example, the headline rate is …

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