How to know when you’re in a recession?

A recession is defined as a decline in real GDP for two consecutive quarters. An economy is in an official recession after six months of falling national income. A recession will typically lead to higher unemployment, a decline in confidence, falling house prices, decline in investment and lower inflation. However, although that may seem quite …

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Importance of exports to the economy

Exports play an important role in the UK economy, influencing the level of economic growth, employment and the balance of payments. In the post-war period, lower transport costs, globalisation, economies of scale and reduced tariff barriers have all helped exports become a bigger share of national income. In 2011, exports of goods and services accounted …

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Effects of a budget surplus

A budget surplus occurs when government tax receipts are greater than government spending. It means the government can either save money or pay off existing national debt. It is worth noting, that budget surpluses are quite rare in the past 120 years. Politicians have sometimes attempted to enshrine budget surplus into law but what are …

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Winners and losers from a weak Pound

The Brexit vote has led to sharp fall in the value of the Pound, at one stage falling to £1 = $1.22 – a fall of over 15%. This will have a significant impact on British firms, consumers and also those outside Europe. In short: Winners from weak Pound UK exporters who will be more …

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House prices and interest rates

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Interest rates have a strong influence on house prices, principally because changes in the interest rate affect the cost of mortgage payments. How do interest rates affect house prices? If interest rates rise it will have a significant effect on increasing the cost of mortgages. Higher mortgage payments will deter prospective home-buyers – it becomes …

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What is the opposite of shrinkflation?

Shrinkflation

Shrinkflation occurs when firms reduce the size or quantity of a good and keep prices the same.  Shrinkflation is as an alternative to inflation. Rather than increasing prices you get a smaller quantity. To buy the same quantity you have to spend more. Recently, it has received a lot of press attention, and The OED …

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Devaluation of the Indian Rupee

The Indian Rupee has fallen in value against a basket of currencies since independence in 1947. In recent years, the Indian Rupee has continued to depreciate in value. Indian Rupee value against US Dollar In 1990, you could buy $1 for 16 Indian Rupees. By 2013, the value of a Rupee had fallen, so that …

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