In 2009, US and EU unemployment rates both stood at 10% – but since then EU unemployment has increased to 12% and US unemployment fallen to 7.9%. (see: US v EU unemployment) These contrasting fortunes in unemployment are a reflection of diverging rates of economic growth. Whilst, Europe has entered a double dip recession, the …
Readers Question. Can you explain why the Government and Economic Commentators are talking about a multiplier (in relation to budget cuts) of between 0.5 and 1, whereas I always thought that the GDP multiplier was bigger than this. Just to summarise a multiplier of 0.5 would mean fiscal consolidation (spending cuts) of £1bn, would lead …
Recently, I was researching a post on US v EU unemployment. No.1 on Google (a news result) was a post with some observations on EU vs US economic policy. This paragraph caught my attention …But many European countries have completely mismanaged their budgets for continued government stimulus, which lends to the argument of free market …
The fiscal multiplier looks at how much an initial change in injections affects real GDP. For example, if increased government spending of £1bn causes overall GDP to rise by £1.5bn, the multiplier effect is 1.5 If £1bn worth of tax rises causes real GDP to fall by £0.5bn, the multiplier effect is (0.5) Since 2009, …
Ever since the Euro debt crisis hit the headlines in 2008, economists have argued that the ECB need to act and buy bonds to prevent liquidity fears and prevent bond yields from being artificially high. Held back by fears of the ECB exceeding their mandate, we have watched in despair, as bond yields on Eurozone …
Readers Question: Would a devaluation help Greece? If you look at the Greek economy, their exchange rate has been effectively overvalued for several years. This overvalued exchange rate has caused Greek exports to be relatively uncompetitive and has caused various economics problems. Combined with efforts to tackle an unsustainable debt level, the over-valuation has contributed …
The purpose of harmonised competitive indicators is to show changes in relative competitiveness of countries. They are are also consistent with the real effective exchange rates (EERs) of the euro. This shows the divergence in competitiveness between a country like Germany De (improved competitiveness) and other countries like Greece and Ireland which have seen higher …
Readers Question: Will Cutting Public spending bring economic growth?Do Countries with lower government spending as a % of GDP have higher economic growth rates? After recent data on -0.7% growth in Q2 2012, several experts offered suggestions for restoring economic growth to the UK. In the Guadian, Sheila Lawlor suggested (link): The UK’s output figures, …