Readers Question: Can you Spend Your Way to Full Employment? Full employment implies. An economy without a significant negative output gap. Full employment requires positive economic growth, averaging close to the long run trend rate of economic growth. (in UK long run trend rate = 2.5%) Very low unemployment. Economists would say full employment is …
Money Supply is an important indicator of economic activity. A slowdown in money supply growth hints the EU is facing the prospect of very low inflation or even deflation. Since the start of 2010, the growth of M1 has fallen significantly for the Euro area. These figures show the whole Eurozone area, however, in the …
Readers Question. You said that if Greece leaves the Euro, the Drachma will depreciate. Why will this happen? If Greece did leave the Euro, then the currency which replaced the Euro, would definitely fall in value. Greeks would soon see the price of imports increase. The foreign price of Greek exports would fall. If Greece …
In one sense the US is facing a debt crisis. The level of government borrowing has risen sharply as a % of GDP, and given current spending commitments, the forecast for borrowing is to continue to grow. Nevertheless, despite disputes over raising debt ceiling, the US doesn’t currently face a crisis like Greece or other …
Hello. You mention national debt and public sector debt. Are they the same? Yes, the official measures is the public sector net debt. Often people refer to this as the national debt. (there once was an official statistics called national debt, but this was discontinued quite a while back). However, when people talk of national …
Readers Question: What have been the drivers of the mortgage default rate in the 2008 recession compared to the late 1980s/ 1990s? Despite the depth of the recession in 2008, the mortgage default rate in the UK has been lower in the current recession than in the early 1990s. The peak for home repossessions occurred …
Readers Question: What are the factors that influence the fixing of a minimum wage? The UK’s first National Minimum wage was established in 1999 and was set at £3.60 for those over 21. It was feared by business that a minimum wage would cause unemployment. However, over the period between 1999 – 2007, in the …
A two speed Europe refers to how, within the EU, economies are growing at different rates and are at different stages in the business cycle. For example, countries in the core of the Eurozone (Germany, Netherlands, France) have seen relatively good recovery since the recession. In these countries, unit labour costs have remained competitive, enabling …