The Natural rate of unemployment is mainly composed of frictional and structural unemployment. Therefore, factors that affect these types of unemployment will alter the natural rate. It is argued the level of unemployed benefits can affect frictional unemployment. If the ratio of benefits to paid employment is high, then there is little incentive to take …
In the past 12 months, UK house prices have once again started to rise, with house price inflation reaching 6%. Even the end of stamp duty in April, did not prevent prices rising by £3,000 in May, according to the Nationwide. It means prices have regained their previous peak of 2022. However, the rise …
US Debt is Set to Massively INCREASE – Does it Matter?Watch this video on YouTube As a share of GDP, US debt is forecast to rise from the current level of 100% of GDP towards 180% by 2050. This is unprecedented – higher than the second world war. However, the recent budget resolution to …
It’s not been a good week for the UK economy with the Bank of England downgrading economic growth and upgrading inflation forecasts. We’re heading for stagflation, the worst of both worlds. If you wanted more bad news, the Bank of England warned that productivity growth may actually be even worse than the pretty dismal statistics …
In the last quarter of 2024, the UK had the lowest rate of economic growth amongst advanced economies. Yet it also had the highest Central Bank interest rate. 4.75%. It is higher even than the Federal Reserve, despite US growth being almost double the UK in recent years. Is Bank of England Pushing Economy into …
2024 has seen UK house prices seamingly defy gravity once more, with prices rising back close to the all-time peak. If you bought an average house at the start of 2020, you would be sitting on capital gains of £53,000. A 25% rise. What Will happen to UK House Prices in 2025?Watch this video on …
After the invasion of Ukraine in 2022, western countries imposed a series of sanctions on Russia. Some claimed this would cripple Russian economy and led to a deep recession. But, the Russian economy seemed to shrug this off growing at 3.6% in 2023 making it own of the fastest growing economies in the G20. And …
Recently the ONS produced a long-term forecast for spending and taxation. It makes for grim reading. Assuming policy doesn’t change, they forecast UK debt will rise to levels last seen in the Napoleonic Wars. This forecast also assumes there are no external shocks like Covid or the Ukraine war. At the same time, bond investors …