Thoughts on the Euro

Readers Question on the Euro – How would Euro be affected if the UK had been a member? Before the credit crisis and economic recession, I felt the Euro would be damaging to the UK economy. To summarise this was because: Lack of Independent monetary policy, e.g. interest rates set by the ECB may not …

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Should We Build More Houses in UK?

A feature of the UK housing market is the low quantity of new houses built compared to the long term growth in demand. Despite high house prices, firms are unable / unwilling to build as many as market forces dictate. The supply of housing is price inelastic. The lack of supply has meant that the …

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Lowest Disposable Income Since 1921?

I saw this in the Telegraph. The Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR) said soaring inflation coupled with low pay rises means household peacetime disposable income is at its lowest since 1921. Rising food, clothing and energy prices mean the average British family will have £910 less to spend this year than they did …

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Spending Your Way to Full Employment

Readers Question: Can you Spend Your Way to Full Employment? Full employment implies. An economy without a significant negative output gap. Full employment requires positive economic growth, averaging close to the long run trend rate of economic growth. (in UK long run trend rate = 2.5%) Very low unemployment. Economists would say full employment is …

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EU Money Supply Slowdown 2011

Money Supply is an important indicator of economic activity. A slowdown in money supply growth hints the EU is facing the prospect of very low inflation or even deflation. Since the start of 2010, the growth of M1 has fallen significantly for the Euro area. These figures show the whole Eurozone area, however, in the …

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Why is US Facing Debt Crisis?

In one sense the US is facing a debt crisis. The level of government borrowing has risen sharply as a % of GDP, and given current spending commitments, the forecast for borrowing is to continue to grow. Nevertheless, despite disputes over raising debt ceiling, the US doesn’t currently face a crisis like Greece or other …

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