Problems of external debt

Foreign or external debt represents the amount a country (both public and private sector) owe to other countries. Foreign debt can involve: Outstanding loans to foreign private banks (both principal and outstanding interest) Due payments to international organisations like the IMF Outstanding payments for a current account deficit, with country owing money for imports Debt …

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Should the UK Join The Euro?

UK, EU, US unemployment

There was a time when joining the Euro was a big issue, frequently debated in the UK. With Brexit referendum, it has become almost irrelevant. However, if leaving the EU proves disastrous and public opinions changes – rejoining the EU, may well involve signing up to the Euro – as new members may not get the opt-out, the UK received.

Reasons not to Join The Euro

1. No Devaluation. In the Euro, you can’t devalue if your currency becomes uncompetitive. This has been a significant problem for Euro countries like Spain, Italy and Greece. Compared to Germany, these countries have seen higher wage growth, higher inflation and lower productivity growth. This means their exports become uncompetitive leading to lower demand and lower growth.

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  • This is reflected in large current account deficits in these southern EU economies. Greece, Portugal and Spain all had a current account deficit of 10% of GDP or more – a very serious economic imbalance.
  • By contrast, the UK has been able to devalue, restoring our competitiveness and giving our economy more flexibility.

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Would the Pound have fallen without Brexit?

Apologies for lower posting volume recently. I am writing a book, which will be published some time in 2017. Also, in the past week I have been in New York, which has been a harsh lesson in the impact of a falling value of the Pound. Though fortunately, I earn some money in US dollars …

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Definition of fiscal responsibility

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Fiscal responsibility implies a government pursues the appropriate level of government spending and tax to: Maintain sustainable public finances. Ensure fiscal policy aids the optimal rate of economic growth. Maintain appropriate levels of public investment. The UK chancellor has proposed a fiscal charter – which requires the government to run a budget surplus within three …

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Was the Pound really overvalued?

In recent post, I looked at whether Pound Sterling would have fallen without Brexit vote? There was a good case to say it was overvalued, but there are a few other factors I’d like to mention. Big Mac index According to the Big mac index, the Pound wasn’t overvalued at all. In fact, on this …

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Blaming immigrants and a tolerant society

I recently watched a BBC documentary (No place to call home) about Britain’s housing crisis, focusing on a suburb of London (Dagenham). It was an insight into the desperate situation many find themselves in because of a shortage of housing, very high rents and a feeling the council / government is unable to help with …

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Benefits of small firms

Readers Question: Why do some firms prefer to remain small? In recent times, the tendency is for product markets to be dominated by large multinational corporations who can benefit from various economies of scale. However, despite this general trend, there are still advantages to being a small firm. Benefits of being a small firm Concentrate …

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