All economic forecasts are subject to margins of error. This is because: There are many variables affecting the economy. For example, the role of shadow banking was largely ignored in 2007 forecasts but failed sub-prime mortgage debt had a much bigger impact on the wider economy than ever before. There is always a big element …
These are a collection of essays written for my economic blogs. Exchange Rate Essays Effects of a falling Dollar Why Dollar keeps falling Discuss Policies to Stop the Dollar Falling Does Devaluation Cause Inflation? Benefits and Costs of Falling Dollar Reasons for Falling Dollar The Dollar as the World’s Reserve Currency Economic Growth Essays Evaluate …
The International Monetary Fund is a global organisation founded in 1944 in the post-war economic settlement which included the Bretton-Woods system of managed exchange rates. J.M.Keynes and Harry Dexter White both played an important role in its development. Its primary aim is to help stabilise exchange rates and provide loans to countries in need. Nearly …
Foreign or external debt represents the amount a country (both public and private sector) owe to other countries. Foreign debt can involve: Outstanding loans to foreign private banks (both principal and outstanding interest) Due payments to international organisations like the IMF Outstanding payments for a current account deficit, with country owing money for imports Debt …
There was a time when joining the Euro was a big issue, frequently debated in the UK. With Brexit referendum, it has become almost irrelevant. However, if leaving the EU proves disastrous and public opinions changes – rejoining the EU, may well involve signing up to the Euro – as new members may not get …
Apologies for lower posting volume recently. I am writing a book, which will be published some time in 2017. Also, in the past week I have been in New York, which has been a harsh lesson in the impact of a falling value of the Pound. Though fortunately, I earn some money in US dollars …
In recent post, I looked at whether Pound Sterling would have fallen without Brexit vote? There was a good case to say it was overvalued, but there are a few other factors I’d like to mention. Big Mac index According to the Big mac index, the Pound wasn’t overvalued at all. In fact, on this …
How to judge George Osborne’s and David Cameron’s economic record since May 2010? They inherited an economy recovering from a deep recession, high unemployment and large budget deficit. It was a difficult economic circumstance, but at the same time you might expect a strong economic recovery as there was much unused capacity and potential for …