The UK economy remains on a knife edge, after a year of stop-start economic growth, the Bank of England forecasts continued economic stagnation into 2024. Other forecasters are marginally less pessimistic, hopeful that a fall in inflation will help to increase real wages and consumer spending. UK Economic Forecasts for 2024Watch this video on YouTube …
Europe’s population is set to fall from 750 million to 570 million within six decades, and this will have profound economic and social costs. In the 1950s, 1 in 12 people were over 65, now it is 1 in 4. At the end of the century, it will be 1 in 3. Europe’s Fertility Crisis …
In recent months, the US Housing Market has seen record house prices, mortgage rates quadrupling from 2 to 8%, and price to income multiples worse than 2006. It is a familiar story across the world. But, so far US house prices have seemed to defy gravity. Yet how long can they remain so elevated? Is …
High interest rates and falling house prices will fundamentally alter both the housing market, and also the economy. The last two house price crashes co-incided with two deep recessions and if prices fall as much as expected, it will worsen an already weak economy. But, it is not all bad news, falling prices could be …
The economist recently warned that governments are living in a fiscal fantasyland, failing to confront dire and growing levels of debt. High inflation and rising interest rates have caused a surge in debt interest payments. By next year, the UK’s debt service payments will be similar to the entire education budget. It is a similar …
In the past 12 months house prices have fallen 16% in Sweden but have risen 4% in the US Yet both housing markets share similarities of overvalued prices and higher interest rates. Global House Price Crash – Where will Prices Fall?Watch this video on YouTube Why is there such a big difference? After a …
UK bond yields are the rate of interest received by those holding Government bonds. Governments sell bonds (also called gilts) via the Debt Management Office to fund their budget deficits. Bonds are a way for the government to borrow – a bit like the government taking out a loan. Government bonds are frequently traded on …
Is the UK housing market fundamentally overvalued? Is the UK Housing Market Really A Big Ponzi Scheme?Watch this video on YouTube Recently, I came across an interesting video which likened the UK housing market to a giant ponzi scheme. But is UK housing like a pack of cards waiting to tumble or are the outrageous …