Readers Question: Whose is to blame for the continued UK recession? With the banking crisis and economic recession, politics seems to be currently dominated by a ‘blame’ game – trying to work out whose fault it is. Unsurprisingly, the coalition have tried to shift blame on to Euro crisis and banks. Others have blamed the …
Interesting perspective from Norbert Walter a former chief economist of Deutsche Bank Group and head of Deutsche Bank Research. – What Euro Crisis? Basically, his view; There isn’t really an economic crisis in the Eurozone If there is a crisis, it could easily be resolved through a bit more immigration and the European Union becoming like …
Readers Question: What policies could Germany / the EU use to help save the Euro? The Euro has many problems. The most obvious outer problem is rising bond yields and the threat of sovereign debt default. Related to sovereign debt default is a banking default, e.g. from Spanish banks which would cause knock-on effects. But, …
Readers Question: Is the spectre of inflation the only reason the FED doesn’t simply print the US out of its economic troubles? By print, I mean at least print enough to pay down the debt to a manageable level, or create a major business incentive program using printed cash. Certainly, a big fear of the …
Readers Question: Does Germany Benefit from the Euro or does it lose out from the Euro because of the cost of bailing out weaker southern European countries? It is a difficult question to answer, but Germany has gained many advantages from membership of the Euro. There are also many costs involved. Firstly, you could look …
Readers Question: If all Greeks native or from abroad (or any other country in debt) bought their own bonds would this make the debt much lower? No, it would not make the debt any lower. But, it would help to finance the government’s deficit. It would make it easier for the government to avoid a …
Typically, a recession will lead to a negative output gap and lower inflation. However, after the recession is over, the economy can usually bounce back and recover this temporary loss of output. However, this ‘great recession’ is different in that there has been no bounce – only a prolonged recession – suggesting the usual expectations …
Readers Question: What do you think about Argentina’s economical future, with the current presidents politics and ~v22% inflation, taken in mind? Argentina performed relatively well since crisis of 2002 (see: Argentina Recovery and Crisis). Leaving their exchange rate peg enabled some re balancing in the economy and helped to boost exports. Importantly, it left the …