Keynes was one of the great economists of the twentieth century. Even his critics would have to admit he had a certain turn of phrase and wit. These are some of his more memorable quotes The long run is a misleading guide to current affairs. In the long run we are all dead. Economists set …
Readers Question: Whose is to blame for the continued UK recession? With the banking crisis and economic recession, politics seems to be currently dominated by a ‘blame’ game – trying to work out whose fault it is. Unsurprisingly, the coalition have tried to shift blame on to Euro crisis and banks. Others have blamed the …
Readers Question: How are we tied up with the European Union in respect to the national debt? In short, the EU has little direct impact on UK national debt. If we were in the Eurozone, our bond yields and debt situation would be very different. But, being outside the Eurozone means the UK debt is …
Typically, a recession will lead to a negative output gap and lower inflation. However, after the recession is over, the economy can usually bounce back and recover this temporary loss of output. However, this ‘great recession’ is different in that there has been no bounce – only a prolonged recession – suggesting the usual expectations …
Italy has struggled to reduce national debt as a % of GDP since government debt has risen to over 100% of GDP in the late 1980s National Debt Italy Italy has the second highest public sector debt in Europe, after Greece. The IMF predict public sector debt of 123.4 % of GDP in 2012. By …
Readers Question: What do you think about Argentina’s economical future, with the current presidents politics and ~v22% inflation, taken in mind? Argentina performed relatively well since crisis of 2002 (see: Argentina Recovery and Crisis). Leaving their exchange rate peg enabled some re balancing in the economy and helped to boost exports. Importantly, it left the …
Spain national debt was € 734,961 at the end of 2011 or 68% of GDP. This is a graph showing Spanish national debt in past 15 years. source: ECB stats By European and international standards, this is actually quite low. National debt in Italy is 120% of GDP. In France government debt is higher at 80% …
One thing I really struggle to understand at the moment is why any country would want to join the Euro. The experience of the past few years is that membership of the Euro can devastate your economy. Given a chance, half of the members of the Euro would wish they had never joined. Greece, Spain, …