Readers Question: Is rise in prices a reflection of economic growth?
A sustained rise in prices is known as inflation. A large rise in prices / higher inflation rate is often caused by economic growth.
However, there are also occasions, when we can get inflation despite weak or negative economic growth.
Inflation caused by economic growth
Typically, higher inflation is caused by strong economic growth. If Aggregate Demand (AD) in an economy expands faster than aggregate supply, we would expect to see a higher inflation rate. If demand is rising faster than supply this suggests that economic growth is higher than the long run sustainable rate of growth.
For example, in the UK, the long-run trend rate of economic growth is around 2.5%.
If the UK economy expands very rapidly, e.g. economic growth of 5%, then you expect to get inflationary pressures:
- With high growth, demand rises faster than firms can keep pace with supply; faced with supply constraints, firms push up prices.
- High growth leads to more employment. Unemployment falls, but this may cause labour shortages. This fall in unemployment puts upward pressure on wages which leads to higher inflation.