Will a Stock Market Crash Cause Recession?

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The Nasdaq is close to record highs. US tech stocks are booming. And a wave of AI investment is holding together what’s otherwise a fragile and uneven American economy. While ordinary households struggle with the cost of living and falling job opportunities, tech giants are spending at levels not seen since the dot-com bubble. The …

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Is UK Debt Much Worse Than it Looks?

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There has been a lot of talk of a budget blackhole of £20bn –  £30bn, but the real hole in UK finances is much greater, unfunded liabilities of pensions, crumbling buildings, infrastructure backlogs, PFI commitments, housing crisis, and social care. And all this is occurring against a backdrop of lower growth and rising inactivity. How …

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Importance of Economic Growth

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Economic growth is important because it enables individuals and countries to have better living standards, reduce poverty and improve quality of life. In a modern context, economic growth is important for improving government finances, reducing unemployment and enabling real wages to increase. This shows UK real GDP per capita in the UK (statistics are estimated …

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Difference between Meme coins and Stable coins

Meme coins, jokes not backed by anything. Stablecoins have something to back them Meme Coins Trump coin had surge in January 2025, but slumped afterwards. Meme coins and stablecoins are both forms of cryptocurrency, but they operate in very different ways. Meme coins began as jokes or internet trends and their value is driven mainly …

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Cost of Net Zero Transition in UK

The OBR’s Fiscal Risks and Sustainability Report (July 2025)  reports that the Seventh Carbon Budget ‘Balanced Pathway’, suggests the net cost to the economy of reaching net zero is estimated to be £116 billion (in 2025 prices) over the 26 years from 2025 to 2050. The most expensive year will be net costs of £35 …

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Reasons for Chinese Economic Growth

Readers Question: What is the most important reason why there is an improvement in the economic growth in the chinese out of the following policies. is it Government policy, education, investment from overseas, cheap labour or natural resources.

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Measuring in constant US$, the Chinese economy has nearly caught up with the US.

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If you measure in terms of purchasing power parity, the Chinese economy has grown faster than the US.

1. Cheap Labour

China has a large unskilled workforce willing to work for low wages. In the north, many farmers struggle to make an income, therefore, they are willing to move south and work in manufacturing for low wages. Therefore, despite high growth, wages have remained low. This has meant Chinese exports have continued to be very competitive. Exports to the rest of the world are one of the main factors behind increased AD and China’s. Cheap labour has also helped avoid wage inflation, which could destabilise economic growth.

2. Government Policy

The Chinese government have been keen to promote economic growth (they have been concerned about unemployment from privatised industries and agriculture). Therefore, they have kept the Yuan undervalued. This makes Chinese exports more competitive and has helped the exporting sector. The government have also kept interest rates relatively low. Although it is sometimes difficult for small business to get loans. Low interest rates have also encouraged some irresponsible lending. Arguably the government have contributed to a boom and there is a danger that the government have allowed growth to be too high. This could lead to inflation and a downturn in the future.

3. Raw Materials

China has good reserves of raw materials such as coal. However, for many raw materials they are net importers. This is true, particularly, for metals, oil and precious commodities. In fact demand from China is one of the main reasons behind the boom in commodity prices. Therefore, we could say China has experienced growth, despite having to import so many raw materials. The increasing price of oil and metals may be a constraint on future growth.

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The Misery Index

misery-index

The misery index (sometimes known as the Economic Discomfort Index EDI ) is simply the sum of the inflation rate plus the unemployment rate. The higher the combined score, the worse the economic situation. The Misery index was developed by economist Arthur Okun. Where Unemployment rate (ut) and the current inflation rate (Ï€t) High unemployment …

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Causes of the Great Depression

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The Great Depression was a period of unprecedented decline in economic activity from 1929 to well into the 1930s.  The trigger was the Wall Street Crash of 1929, which led to bank losses, bank failures and a collapse in the money supply and normal economic confidence. The main causes were bank closures, fall in the …

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