Readers Question: What policies could Germany / the EU use to help save the Euro? The Euro has many problems. The most obvious outer problem is rising bond yields and the threat of sovereign debt default. Related to sovereign debt default is a banking default, e.g. from Spanish banks which would cause knock-on effects. But, …
Readers Question: Does Germany Benefit from the Euro or does it lose out from the Euro because of the cost of bailing out weaker southern European countries? It is a difficult question to answer, but Germany has gained many advantages from membership of the Euro. There are also many costs involved. Firstly, you could look …
Readers Question: With talk of a Greek exit from the Euro, the situation is almost always compared to Argentina in the 1980s and 90s. Can you explain what happened there and how it was resolved. In the 1980s, Argentina built up substantial debt and also suffered from periods of very high inflation. To stabilise inflation, …
Readers Question: Should Greece pull out of the euro ? They are in the fifth year of recession despite EU bailouts – it seems like pouring money down a black hole. Yes. I believe they should leave the Euro. I put some arguments for and against here – Should Greece leave the Euro. Leaving the …
Readers Question: There just seems to be many paradoxical actions taking place in markets and economies at the moment. How do we explain? Paradoxes of UK economy Low interest rates have not increased spending / economic growth Despite recession, inflation has been above target. Despite recession and depreciation of Pound, current account deficit increased in …
What are the Global Imbalances? US ran a large and persistent current account deficit (imports higher than exports) of up to 6.5% of GDP in 2006 Diagram of Current Account Surplus / Deficit in US and rest of world source: (1) 2. China ran a large current account surplus, accumulated foreign reserves, kept Yuan undervalued …
An Overview of the Indian economy in 2012 and its prospects for the future. (Depressed by events in Europe, a look at an economy with a very different economic outlook). Summary In the past few years, the Indian economy has been growing rapidly – (e.g. 8.5%2010-11). However, this growth has led to an increase in …
In 2011, Greek Manufacturing output fell 15.5% Unemployment currently stands at 20.9% Greek youth unemployment stands at 48% – surpassing even Spain’s youth unemployment Government debt burden stands at 160% of GDP. Despite all the austerity measures, the Greek budget deficit has not fallen because the economy is shrinking so quickly. On top of this …