Independent Currency and Economic Performance

Why have countries in the Eurozone faced greater difficulties in promoting economic recovery? How does a country with its own currency find greater flexibility in overcoming a recession? 1. Impact of Currency and Bond Yields A striking feature of recent years is that countries in the Eurozone have been significantly more susceptible to rising bond …

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Debt Interest Payments as a % of GDP and Tax

The amount of debt interest a government needs to pay depends on two factors: The amount of outstanding debt. The interest rate on government bonds. Higher bond yields will increase the cost of future borrowing. Note: There are quite a few different ways of measuring government debt / financial liabilities, therefore you may come across …

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How Does the EU affect UK debt?

Readers Question: How are we tied up with the European Union in respect to the national debt? In short, the EU has little direct impact on UK national debt. If we were in the Eurozone, our bond yields  and debt situation would be very different. But, being outside the Eurozone means the UK debt is …

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Prospects for Argentina Economy

Readers Question: What do you think about Argentina’s economical future, with the current presidents politics and ~v22% inflation, taken in mind? Argentina performed relatively well since crisis of 2002 (see: Argentina Recovery and Crisis). Leaving their exchange rate peg enabled some re balancing in the economy and helped to boost exports. Importantly, it left the …

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Argentina crisis and recovery

Readers Question: With talk of a Greek exit from the Euro, the situation is almost always compared to Argentina in the 1980s and 90s. Can you explain what happened there and how it was resolved. In the 1980s, Argentina built up substantial debt and also suffered from periods of very high inflation. To stabilise inflation, …

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Spanish National Debt

Spain national debt was € 734,961 at the end of 2011 or 68% of GDP. This is a graph showing Spanish national debt in past 15 years. source: ECB stats   By European and international standards, this is actually quite low. National debt in Italy is 120% of GDP. In France government debt is higher at 80% …

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Does Quantitative Easing automatically cause higher inflation?

Readers Question: 1. I read somewhere that accommodative monetary policy (in other words, quantitative easing) does not automatically result in higher inflation. For higher inflation to occur, the output gap must be crossed. i.e. idle factories back in business, unemployment rates down, etc. However, I don’t think the hyperinflation in Zimbabwe was preceded by increasing …

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