Hopes for UK economy

Despite a shrinkage in manufacturing and widening trade deficit, the IMF have hinted that the UK economy is beginning to emerge from one of the longest periods of economic stagnation / recession on records. They marginally increased their forecast for UK growth to 0.9% for 2013. Does the recent good news give hope to the …

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Impact of funding for lending on credit and saving

There is mixed evidence about the success of the Funding for Lending scheme Firstly, there is evidence that credit is still tight and firms are struggling to gain finance. Since last August, £1.8bn of credit has been drained out of the system At the same time, up to 40 lenders have accessed the £16.5bn in …

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Notes on UK growth Q1 2013

Latest GDP statistics show economic growth of 0.3% in Q1 of 2013. (Link ONS) The strongest growth has come from the service sector (1.3%) and retail in particular. Production industries fell -2.6% in Q1 2013. Construction was hardest hit falling – 6.3% Despite the strongest growth in real disposable income since 2009. (Real household disposable …

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Economic defeatism

Economic defeatism is a situation where policy makers accept an economic situation which is well below potential. Another form of defeatism is to see some problems as intractable and concentrate on dealing with side issues. Economic defeatism is contagious because it can set the tone for the whole economy, making it even more difficult to …

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Would it help to have a higher inflation rate?

Economists generally agree that a high inflation rate has various economic costs and therefore, we should use economic policy to keep inflation low. Since the mid 1980s, governments have increasingly set strict inflation targets, e.g. ECB inflation of less than 2%. The Bank of England targeting inflation of 2% +/-1. However, some economists argue that …

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OCR F585 Stimulus material on Estonian economy

This years OCR F585 global economy pre-release stimulus material is about Estonia and its economic performance. This post gives a few extra graphs about the state of the Estonian economy and considers important issues and questions, related to Estonia. Brief synopsis From the early 2000s Estonia experienced rapid economic growth as it benefited from joining …

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