Indian Economy set to Grow

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Over the next few decades, the Indian economy is forecast to become one of the world’s fastest-growing economies – adding an estimated $400bn a year to its GDP. During the twentieth century the Indian economy often struggled to increase living standards, but in the past decade has started to throw off the shackles of colonialism, …

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Trade Union Density in the UK

Trade Union density refers to the percentage of the workforce who belong to a trade union. Since the early 1980s, there has been a steady decline in the density of trade union membership in the UK workforce.   The decline in trade union density – matching the decline in trade union membership.

OBR Predict fall in House prices in 2023

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Last Thursday the OBR published a detailed forecast for the UK economy. It made for grim reading – the longest recession for a generation, falling disposable income and real wage growth around 35% less than its pre-crisis trend rate. Why Experts Predict 10% FALL in House PricesWatch this video on YouTube Amongst the dire economic …

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Recession risks for UK in 2023 worsen

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Earlier this summer the Bank of England warned that the UK was heading into the deepest recession in a generation. Yesterday the Bank of England warned the UK was in the longest recession in a generation – a double gloomy prognosis to go with their record-breaking rise in interest rates by 75 basis points from …

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Increasing interest rates in the time of a recession

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Central Banks around the world are increasing interest rates because of concerns about inflation. However, the curious feature of this economic cycle is that Central Banks are raising rates, just as economies go into recession. Higher interest rates will, therefore, exacerbate the economic downturn and cause a deeper recession and higher unemployment. So why are …

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Does the UK need to return to austerity?

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The recent surge in UK government gilts is a warning that unfunded tax cuts in a time of high inflation can cause markets to sell off UK bonds and make it harder to finance future government borrowing. After 15 years of ultra-low interest rates and little concern about rising debt, it is a reminder that …

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Britain’s new winter of discontent

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In 1974, the National Institute for Economic & Social Research made a report about the UK economy, concluding: “It is not often that a government finds itself confronted with a possibility of a simultaneous failure to achieve all four main policy objectives: adequate economic growth, full employment, a satisfactory balance of payments, and reasonable, stable …

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