Politicians often promise tax cuts can lead to higher productivity, higher economic growth, and even pay for themselves through a boost to long-term incomes. These promises may chime with the electorate who tend to prefer promises of tax cuts. But, do tax cuts really increase economic growth? There are two impacts of lower tax. Increasing …
A recent report by the Bank of England made for grim reading. UK Output is forecast to fall and inflation is predicted to rise to a level not seen since the early 1980s. The UK like many economies is facing short-term pressures – rising energy prices, supply shortages and slowing growth. But, the malaise of …
A recession is a period with a significant decline in economic activity characterised by falling GDP, rising unemployment and a decline in real incomes. A quick and simple definition of a recession (used in the UK and EU) is – negative economic growth for two consecutive quarters. The US uses a more comprehensive definition of …
When I started teaching economics in the early 2000s, I remember quite a few commentators predicting imminent house price falls because house prices were overvalued by historical trends, I used to occasional dip into house price crash forums to see a debate about when prices would fall. Yet, since 2000, even accounting for the financial …
Latest UK housing market stats and graphs. Including house prices, Price to income ratios and construction of new housing.
A recession is defined as a period of negative economic growth. However, there can be different causes and types of economic contraction. Different types of recession will influence the length, depth and effects of the recession. These are some of the different types of recessions. Boom and bust recession (e.g. UK 1991/92) – Very high …
Recently I wrote about impact of rising bond yields on long term bonds. There is uncertainty whether the rise in bond yields reflects economic growth or worries over government debt. This post explains the inverse relationship between bond yields and bond prices Bond Yield Curve Definition: The bond yield curve reflects the yield on government …
What are the implications of an ageing population? An older population presents many challenges to labour markets, government tax, government spending and the wider economy. The Population Timebomb – How An Ageing Population Will Change UsWatch this video on YouTube One of the great achievements of the Twentieth Century is a dramatic rise in life …