Russia’s Economic Problems Rise

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After the invasion of Ukraine in 2022, western countries imposed a series of sanctions on Russia. Some claimed this would cripple Russian economy and led to a deep recession. But, the Russian economy seemed to shrug this off growing at 3.6% in 2023 making it own of the fastest growing economies in the G20. And …

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Does Rising UK Debt Make Austerity Inevitable?

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Recently the ONS produced a long-term forecast for spending and taxation. It makes for grim reading. Assuming policy doesn’t change, they forecast UK debt will rise to levels last seen in the Napoleonic Wars. This forecast also assumes there are no external shocks like Covid or the Ukraine war. At the same time, bond investors …

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Current Account Balance of Payments

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The current account on the balance of payments measures the inflow and outflow of goods, services, investment incomes and transfer payments. The main components of the current account are: Trade in goods (visible balance) Trade in services (invisible balance), e.g. insurance and services Primary income account – includes – compensation of employees, investment income from …

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The Economic Ideas of Donald Trump

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Donald Trump and his vice-president have some unorthodox economic policies. Reduce prices, Higher Tariffs, lower tax,  devalue the dollar and end immigration. But, will they work? Trumponomics – The Real Impact of Trump Economic PoliciesWatch this video on YouTube At the recent Republican convention, Trump vowed to end the inflation nightmare and bring prices down …

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Venezuelan Economy – From Riches to Economic Disaster

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In the 1970s Venezuela was widely admired for its functional democracy and the highest living standards in Latin America. There was good reasons to be optimistic. Venezuela has the largest known reserves of oil in the world. Greater than Saudi Arabia, Iran and the US. Yet in recent decades, the economy has lurched from crisis …

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Is UK Following Italy’s Economic Decline?

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Around 2000, something remarkable happened to the Italian economy. It stopped growing and went into a 20 year long-decline. Even if you adjust for population, Italy’s performance was strikingly worse than its main competitors. If we look at productivity, Italy fell far behind. It has effectively lost two decades with real wages remaining virtually stagnant. …

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