House Prices Forecast to drop in 2023

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Last week, the Nationwide reported a sixth consecutive monthly fall in house prices. They are now 6% down on last summer’s peak with buyers able to get an average £14,000 off the asking price. Annual price changes are falling at the fastest rate since 2012. Yet, some analysts wonder if the worst is already over? …

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Bond Yields Explained

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UK bond yields are the rate of interest received by those holding Government bonds. Governments sell bonds (also called gilts) via the Debt Management Office to fund their budget deficits. Bonds are a way for the government to borrow – a bit like the government taking out a loan. Government bonds are frequently traded on …

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Phillips Curve Explained

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Summary of Phillips Curve The Phillips curve suggests there is an inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment. This suggests policymakers have a choice between prioritising inflation or unemployment. During the 1950s and 1960s, Phillips curve analysis suggested there was a trade-off, and policymakers could use demand management (fiscal and monetary policy) to try and influence …

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Why The UK Became Relatively Worse Off

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In the past 13 years, the UK has seen an unprecedented stagnation in real incomes. If Pre-crisis growth had been maintained, real incomes would be around £7,000 higher. Whilst global events like Covid and Ukraine War are mitigating factors, the UK economy has still performed relatively worse, with one of the poorest performances in real …

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Are UK House Prices Overvalued?

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Is the UK housing market fundamentally overvalued? Is the UK Housing Market Really A Big Ponzi Scheme?Watch this video on YouTube Recently, I came across an interesting video which likened the UK housing market to a giant ponzi scheme. But is UK housing like a pack of cards waiting to tumble or are the outrageous …

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Inflation set to fall in 2023

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After inflation has reached the highest levels for decades it is set to fall dramatically over the next few months. I’ll explain why this is, why we will not notice much difference and look at whether economists may be proved wrong yet again on inflation. Recently UK government has announced it plans to cut inflation …

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