concepts

Rational expectations

Rational expectations

Rational expectations is an economic theory that states – when making decisions, individual agents will base their decisions on the best information available and learn from past trends. Rational expectations is the best guess for the future. Rational expectations suggests that although people may be wrong some of the time, on average they will be correct. In particular, rational expectations assumes that people learn from past mistakes. Rational expectations has implications for economic policy. The impact of say expansionary fiscal policy will be different if people change their behaviour because they expect…

Positive feedback loop

Positive feedback loop

A positive feedback loop is a situation where two events are mutually reinforcing. With this situation a small change in one input can cause a bigger final increase in both the initial input and the secondary effect. Suppose, there is a rise in demand for buying a commodity. This rise in demand leads to rising prices. However, rising prices can encourage many investors to take interest in the commodity and also buy the commodity. Therefore, the rise in price encourages more demand. Positive feedback loop – house prices

Lump of labour fallacy – immigration

Lump of labour fallacy – immigration

The lump of labour fallacy is the contention that the amount of work available in an economy is fixed.  But, most economists argue this belief there is a fixed number of jobs (or fixed number of hours) is usually incorrect. In summary Fallacy – “Immigrants take jobs of native workers.” Why this is a fallacy – immigrants who gain work, also gain income to spend in the rest of the economy, creating new jobs. The number of jobs is not fixed….

Why does capitalism cause monopoly?

Why does capitalism cause monopoly?

Readers question: Firstly, I wholeheartedly praise the magnificent work done by you in exhibiting economic knowledge and demystifying it to us, the mediocre audience. I seriously question one fact that you presented about capitalism and how it “inevitably causes monopoly”. I grew really surprised and perplexed the moment I read that in “The problems of Capitalism” of yours. If you reconsider, Capitalism with its competitiveness, equal free chances, and free markets with no intervention from a higher authority ( The government ) actually endeavour towards diminishing Monopoly. A good…

How to know when you’re in a recession?

How to know when you’re in a recession?

A recession is defined as a decline in real GDP for two consecutive quarters. We will know an economy is in an official recession after six months of falling national income. A recession will typically lead to higher unemployment, decline in confidence, falling house prices, decline in investment and lower inflation. However, although that may seem quite straight forward, in practise it can be difficult to know. GDP stats may not tell us until a significant time lag after the event. The ability to know whether you’re in a recession is…

Lagging and leading indicators

Lagging and leading indicators

A lagging indicator is an economic statistic that tends to have a delayed reaction to a change in the economic cycle. A leading indicator is an economic statistic that tend to predict future changes in the economic cycle. A co-incident indicator is a variable that changes with the whole economy. Recession of 2008 was very deep, but which statistics indicated it would happen? Lagging and leading indicators explained At the start of a recession, we may get a fall…

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Neoliberalism

Neoliberalism is a term commonly used to describe free-market economics. Neoliberalism involves policies associated with free trade, privatisation, price deregulation, a reduced size of government and flexible labour markets. Recently, neoliberalism has been associated with the policies of austerity and attempts to reduce budget deficits – usually by cutting government spending on social programmes. Neo-liberalism is closely associated with the Washington Consensus – the free market approach of the IMF and other institutions. It also closely overlaps with the classical economic philosophy of laissez faire. The origin of Neoliberalism Neoliberalism…

Economic abuse

Economic abuse

Readers question: Is there anything in economic theory that addresses what I would like to call “economic abuse” Where the profit of a what a worker does is ten to a hundred times what the worker earns to the Owner or Individual paying the worker. The worker earns $10 a day doing labour that the owner profits a $100 or more from. Is this ever addressed or is the worker just seen as another cost of production? Economic abuse Economic abuse is where one party has control over another person and…