What is the optimal inflation rate?

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The optimal inflation rate is often considered to be around 2%. For example: The UK target inflation of 2% +/-1 The ECB target inflation of less than 2% US Federal Reserve target inflation of less than 2% (But from 2020 are likely to make inflation target symmetrical like the UK) Why Central Banks wish to …

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Interest Rate Cycle

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The interest rate cycle is closely related to the economic or trade cycle. In theory, movements in interest rates should mirror the economic cycle. If the economy is growing strongly and inflationary pressures increasing – Central Banks will increase interest rates to slow down the economy and prevent inflation. If the economy enters into recession …

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Letter of 365 economists – did they really get it wrong?

economic growth 1981

The March 1981 UK budget was controversial. In a period of rising unemployment, recession and high inflation. The government pursued deflationary fiscal policy trying to reduce inflation. The chancellor increased taxes by a total of £4 billion, with the aim of reducing inflation and reducing the budget deficit. Tax measures included A new 20% tax …

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Effect of lower interest rates

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A look at the economic effects of a cut in interest rates. Summary Lower interest rates make it cheaper to borrow. This tends to encourage spending and investment. This leads to higher aggregate demand (AD) and economic growth. This increase in AD may also cause inflationary pressures. In theory, lower interest rates will: Reduce the …

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What are the effects of a rise in the inflation rate?

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The inflation rate measures the annual percentage rise in the cost of living. (CPI) A rise in the inflation rate – means prices are rising at a faster rate. Summary of higher inflation In the short-run, it is more likely the Central bank will increase interest rates to moderate the inflation rate. Savers who have …

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How do interest rates affect savers and saving levels?

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Interest rates determine the amount of interest payments that savers will receive on their deposits. An increase in interest rates will make saving more attractive and should encourage saving. A cut in interest rates will reduce the rewards of saving and will tend to discourage saving. However, in the real world, it is more complicated. …

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Exchange Rate Index Definition

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An exchange rate index is a way of measuring the performance of a currency against a basket of other currencies. An exchange rate index shows the percentage change in the value of the currency against its main competitors. It sets the index to 100 for a particular base year. This enables users to make percentage …

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