Economic defeatism

Economic defeatism is a situation where policy makers accept an economic situation which is well below potential. Another form of defeatism is to see some problems as intractable and concentrate on dealing with side issues. Economic defeatism is contagious because it can set the tone for the whole economy, making it even more difficult to …

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Latvia to join the Euro

After enduring a deep economic crisis, Latvia are poised to be ‘rewarded’ with membership of the Euro in 2014. The Latvian miracle story It seems a strange that countries are so keen to join the Euro, when membership of the Euro has been a major factor in creating a real depression amongst many Euro countries. …

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Credit Policy

Credit policy / financial policy is the use of the financial system to influence aggregate demand (AD). Monetary policy affects AD through the Central bank controlling interest rates and the money supply. Fiscal policy affects AD through the use of government spending and taxation. Credit policy looks at factors such as: Bank lending rates to …

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Patching up the economy with elastic bands

This week I wrote a post about escape velocity – the idea an economy stuck in recession needs a decisive burst to escape a liquidity trap, low spending and low confidence. If an economy can return to this normal trend rate of economic growth, we can end the period of ultra low interest rates and …

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Comparing different recessions

The post 2008 recession has seen the longest decline in real GDP on record. 55 months after the peak output of 2008, the UK economy is still 4% below it’s peak. By contrast, in the same time frame during the early 1930s, the economy had recovered to be more than 2% higher than the 1930 …

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Paradox of toil

effect-increased-supply-wages

The paradox of toil states that under certain conditions if people wish to work longer hours, this can cause falling real wages and rising unemployment. The paradox is that individuals have an incentive to work longer, but if everybody wants to work longer hours, it can actually cause unemployment. The paradox of toil only works …

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Universal Credit – how it works and criticisms

Universal credit is a new means-tested benefit, which, in October 2013, will replace several different means-tested benefits, such as: income-based Jobseeker’s Allowance income-related Employment and Support Allowance Income Support Child Tax Credits Working Tax Credits Housing Benefit. The aim of universal credit is to provide a simplified means-tested benefits system, which provides income to those …

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Bank of England criticisms

Recently, the Economist published an article (You can fool some of the people…), pointing out several economic commentators were increasingly critical of UK economic policy and the Bank of England’s monetary policy in particular. Is the Bank of England really losing grip of monetary policy? or are they doing the best job in difficult circumstances? …

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