Could US Make Same Mistakes as Europe?

In 2009, US and EU unemployment rates both stood at 10% – but since then EU unemployment has increased to 12% and US unemployment fallen to 7.9%. (see: US v EU unemployment) These contrasting fortunes in unemployment are a reflection of diverging rates of economic growth. Whilst, Europe has entered a double dip recession, the …

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Does Disaster Relief Provide Economic Stimulus?

Readers Question: “Is it a fallacy to assume that Super-storm Sandy will promote growth and, if so, why?” In the aftermath of a natural disaster, such as hurricane ‘Sandy’ which recently hit New York and New Jersey. there is usually a fairly minimal impact on GDP. The devastation by the storm has cost something in …

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Is Economics Irrelevant in the Absence of Scarcity?

Readers Question Is the study of economics irrelevant in the absence of the concept of scarcity? It would make a good interview question. The difficult thing is trying to imagine what a society would be like if it had no scarcity. One thinks of the imaginary desert island, with abundant resources and a lone Robinson …

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Did Generous Welfare Payments Cause the Recession and Unemployment?

Casey B. Mulligan, from the University of Chicago suggests a theory for a major cause of the great recession and the rise in US unemployment post 2008. – Higher welfare payments. ..Redistribution, or subsidies and regulations intended to help the poor, unemployed, and financially distressed, have changed in many ways since the onset of the …

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Why Did Europe Expect Fiscal Consolidation to Work?

Readers Question. Can you explain why the Government and Economic Commentators  are talking about a multiplier (in relation to budget cuts) of between 0.5 and 1, whereas I always thought that the GDP multiplier was bigger than this. Just to summarise a multiplier of 0.5 would mean fiscal consolidation (spending cuts) of £1bn, would lead …

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Austerity will Increase UK’s debt burden

According to the National Institute for Economic and Social Research (Niesr), fiscal consolidation in the UK is likely to increase the UK’s debt burden. Or to put it in layman’s terms there will be ‘pain, but no gain’ They model the impact of fiscal consolidation in both ‘normal’ times (scenario 1)  and in the current …

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Independent Currency and Economic Performance

Why have countries in the Eurozone faced greater difficulties in promoting economic recovery? How does a country with its own currency find greater flexibility in overcoming a recession? 1. Impact of Currency and Bond Yields A striking feature of recent years is that countries in the Eurozone have been significantly more susceptible to rising bond …

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